Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:27:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x20b9…2f57
crypto · 1797 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$172 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,601 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$1,601
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses1593 / 268
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1861 / 1797
History coverage17d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day110.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 0 History 1861 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,080
7 days−$1,080
14 days−$1,402
30 days−$1,601
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 46¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+117%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 79¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+27%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+6%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 17? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 17? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 5? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on May 16? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 16? Jun 14 $0 $0 -194%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 10? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 23? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 17? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $33 −$33 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$350
other 8% −$163
weather 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 121 -51.6% -56.2% 46% 1% -81.5%
≤30d 1861 -4.7% -13.7% 86% 28% -13.4%
≤90d 1861 -4.7% -13.7% 86% 28% -13.4%
all 1861 -4.7% -13.7% 86% 28% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover110.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.7% 28% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.0% 10% -21.7%
15% -29.5% 4% -29.3%
20% -36.4% 1% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.21 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records