Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:01:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x20bd…4845
crypto · 123 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$38,978 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$38,151 · open +$807
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$61,210
Realized+$38,151
Unrealized+$807
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses96 / 15
Whale WR (big bets)82%
Open positions12
Markets (closed)111 / 123
History coverage381d
Avg bet$7,015
Trades / day2.8
Drawdown13%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 12 History 111 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$279
7 days+$279
14 days+$303
30 days+$303
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026? No 96¢ 100¢ $25,041 $25,917 +$876 (+3%)
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No 97¢ 100¢ $8,953 $9,161 +$208 (+2%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? No 94¢ 95¢ $7,580 $7,588 +$9 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? No 93¢ 94¢ $5,663 $5,679 +$16 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? No 97¢ 97¢ $3,179 $3,188 +$9 (+0%)
XRP all time high by June 30, 2026? No 97¢ 100¢ $2,490 $2,570 +$80 (+3%)
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? No 97¢ 98¢ $2,353 $2,382 +$29 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No 93¢ 94¢ $1,856 $1,866 +$10 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No 58¢ 44¢ $2,086 $1,601 −$486 (-23%)
Will Solana dip to $40 in June? No 95¢ 98¢ $474 $491 +$17 (+3%)
Will Solana reach $90 in June? No 93¢ 97¢ $445 $462 +$17 (+4%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? No 89¢ 96¢ $284 $306 +$22 (+8%)
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $10,950 +$274 +2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June? Jun 11 $191 +$5 +3%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May? Jun 01 $2,570 +$23 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May? Jun 01 $120 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.60 in April? May 01 $249 +$50 +20%
Will Solana reach $110 in April? May 01 $5,531 +$549 +10%
Will Solana reach $120 in April? May 01 $1,592 +$54 +3%
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April? May 01 $183 +$17 +9%
Will XRP reach $1.80 in April? May 01 $1,902 +$141 +7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? May 01 $6,534 +$469 +7%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April? May 01 $4,861 +$188 +4%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April? May 01 $1,941 +$56 +3%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? Apr 08 $8,992 −$1,051 -12%
Will XRP reach $2.20 in March? Apr 01 $292 +$8 +3%
Will XRP reach $2.40 in March? Apr 01 $384 +$15 +4%
Will Solana dip to $40 in March? Apr 01 $386 +$14 +4%
Will XRP reach $2.60 in March? Apr 01 $580 +$19 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? Apr 01 $1,177 +$253 +22%
Will XRP reach $3.00 in March? Apr 01 $780 +$19 +2%
Will Solana dip to $50 in March? Apr 01 $836 +$63 +8%
Will Solana dip to $60 in March? Apr 01 $1,457 +$239 +16%
Will Solana reach $120 in March? Apr 01 $4,723 +$362 +8%
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March? Apr 01 $6,394 +$139 +2%
Will Solana reach $110 in March? Apr 01 $6,494 +$790 +12%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March? Apr 01 $14,899 +$515 +4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? Apr 01 $21,610 +$3,044 +14%
Will XRP reach $2.00 in March? Apr 01 $2,474 +$118 +5%
Will XRP reach $1.80 in March? Apr 01 $2,485 +$307 +12%
XRP all time high by March 31, 2026? Apr 01 $5,297 +$250 +5%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March? Apr 01 $2,610 +$222 +8%
Will Solana reach $130 in March? Apr 01 $3,736 +$154 +4%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March? Mar 24 $4,811 +$145 +3%
Will Solana reach $140 in March? Mar 17 $1,020 +$18 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March? Mar 16 $1,229 +$29 +2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March? Mar 16 $944 +$160 +17%
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March? Mar 16 $585 −$144 -25%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? Mar 16 $1,752 −$394 -22%
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? Mar 04 $359 −$155 -43%
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? Mar 01 $43,096 +$1,622 +4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? Mar 01 $14,250 −$667 -5%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February? Mar 01 $21,857 +$1,390 +6%
Will XRP reach $3.00 in February? Mar 01 $5,497 +$116 +2%
Will XRP reach $2.40 in February? Mar 01 $4,158 +$231 +6%
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February? Mar 01 $2,115 +$159 +8%
Will Solana dip to $60 in February? Mar 01 $1,967 +$629 +32%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February? Mar 01 $2,939 +$353 +12%
Will XRP reach $2.20 in February? Mar 01 $4,013 +$453 +11%
Will Solana reach $120 in February? Mar 01 $5,245 +$662 +13%
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February? Mar 01 $7,918 +$594 +8%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? Mar 01 $17,065 +$1,821 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$38,958
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? BUY No 95¢ $331 12m
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? BUY No 95¢ $1,467 17m
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? BUY No 95¢ $474 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? BUY No 94¢ $615 2h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? BUY No 94¢ $473 2h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? BUY No 94¢ $1,890 2h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? BUY No 94¢ $661 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? BUY No 94¢ $614 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? BUY No 94¢ $472 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? BUY No 94¢ $612 3h
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? BUY No 98¢ $645 5h
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? BUY No 97¢ $1,538 5h
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? BUY No 97¢ $1,649 5h
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $322 6h
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $4,027 6h
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $805 6h
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $323 6h
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $805 6h
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $1,611 6h
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $1,611 6h
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $1,113 6h
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $111 6h
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $161 6h
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $111 6h
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $111 6h
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $111 6h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June? SELL No 98¢ $196 20h
XRP all time high by June 30, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $657 21h
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? BUY No 93¢ $1,865 28h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? BUY No 94¢ $940 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-7.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +2.6% -7.2% 100% 0% -7.3%
≤30d 4 +1.6% -8.1% 100% 0% -7.5%
≤90d 37 +4.6% -5.3% 92% 19% -4.7%
all 111 +2.7% -7.1% 86% 17% -5.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.8 tr/day
realistic slip~10%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.1% 17% -5.1%
10% ← realistic here -16.0% 3% -14.2%
15% -24.1% 0% -22.5%
20% -31.5% 0% -30.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $61,210.35 · official $61,210.35 (match) · 1137 history records