Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:15:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x20c4…f632
sports · 74 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$375 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$351 · open −$24
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,776
Realized−$351
Unrealized−$24
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses35 / 23
Est. fees paid−$43
Open positions16
Markets (closed)58 / 74
History coverage36d
Avg bet$91
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 16 History 58 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$227
7 days−$629
14 days−$595
30 days−$463
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 88¢ 88¢ $400 $398 −$2 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 62¢ 62¢ $200 $202 +$2 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 79¢ 76¢ $200 $191 −$9 (-4%)
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage RUSTEC 58¢ 58¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 79¢ 78¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 71¢ 70¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Virtus.pro 67¢ 66¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 42¢ 42¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 74¢ 72¢ $100 $98 −$2 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 62¢ 60¢ $100 $96 −$4 (-4%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage BIG 62¢ 69¢ $50 $56 +$6 (+11%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 88¢ 90¢ $50 $51 +$1 (+2%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs G2 Esports 83¢ 83¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+0%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs FUT Esports 55¢ 55¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 47¢ 42¢ $50 $45 −$5 (-10%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage GenOne 69¢ 62¢ $50 $44 −$6 (-11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs NEW VISION 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 68¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 56¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 30¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BIG 28¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Legacy 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In Ninjas in Pyjamas 78¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $904 +$131 +14%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $101 +$44 +44%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $101 +$48 +48%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $30 +$16 +52%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $152 +$69 +45%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $51 −$2 -3%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Jun 12 $10 +$3 +27%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage Jun 12 $50 −$16 -31%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $501 −$500 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $50 −$50 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $51 −$50 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $30 +$17 +57%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $30 +$1 +4%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $10 +$6 +57%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 +$7 +36%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $302 +$69 +23%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe P Jun 10 $10 −$10 -99%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $10 +$4 +38%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $20 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$14 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 09 $52 +$38 +73%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships P Jun 08 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-In Jun 08 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $20 −$20 -100%
Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qu Jun 08 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 08 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 08 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Gro Jun 08 $14 −$14 -100%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 08 $31 −$31 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 08 $252 −$252 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $100 +$10 +10%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 07 $20 +$8 +42%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 03 $30 +$5 +17%
Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Group C Jun 03 $20 +$5 +26%
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 03 $20 +$20 +97%
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Entropy (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 03 $20 +$4 +19%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 24 $20 +$3 +16%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs May 24 $30 +$10 +32%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 23 $20 +$7 +32%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Pla May 23 $50 +$24 +48%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 22 $20 −$20 -99%
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Playoffs May 22 $8 +$2 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$407
crypto 1% +$37
other 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage BUY BIG 62¢ $51 1h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stag BUY GenOne 69¢ $50 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY Virtus.pro 67¢ $101 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 88¢ $401 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 62¢ $202 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 62¢ $101 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 79¢ $201 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 79¢ $101 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 42¢ $102 1h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY RUSTEC 58¢ $101 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 74¢ $101 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $101 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 45¢ $54 20h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 41¢ $51 20h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 83¢ $50 22h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Paper Rex 67¢ $101 22h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $51 22h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 91¢ $501 22h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 87¢ $502 22h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY Virtus.pro 51¢ $51 22h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 87¢ $402 23h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $50 23h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 69¢ $101 23h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 56¢ $51 23h
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY Virtus.pro 65¢ $30 23h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 60¢ $101 23h
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European BUY Young Ninjas 78¢ $10 23h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 38¢ $10 45h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 30¢ $20 45h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Aurora Gaming 63¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-21.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -32.1% -38.6% 45% 38% -27.8%
≤30d 55 -14.5% -22.6% 58% 53% -21.1%
≤90d 58 -13.1% -21.4% 60% 52% -16.0%
all 58 -13.1% -21.4% 60% 52% -16.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.4% 52% -16.0%
10% -28.9% 43% -24.0%
15% -35.8% 29% -31.3%
20% -42.1% 14% -38.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,776.41 · official $1,776.42 (match) · 132 history records