Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:59:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x20cc…7a03
crypto · 2199 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$950 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$950 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$950
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses1137 / 702
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1839 / 2199
History coverage26d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day115.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1839 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,096
7 days−$2,931
14 days−$1,817
30 days−$950
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $197 −$197 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$4,949
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $31 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)+2.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 855 -10.3% -18.8% 50% 48% -32.6%
≤30d 1839 +12.8% +2.1% 62% 60% -14.3%
≤90d 1839 +12.8% +2.1% 62% 60% -14.3%
all 1839 +12.8% +2.1% 62% 60% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover115.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.1% 60% -14.3%
10% ← realistic here -7.7% 59% -22.5%
15% -16.6% 56% -30.0%
20% -24.8% 49% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.04 (match) · 3500 history records