Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T02:21:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
20 0x20d0…bba0 crypto 1744 markets active 0h ago coverage 10d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (174 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$126 (+1%) realized −$143 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate96%1670W / 74L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day174.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$46
14 days−$143
30 days−$143
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$143
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (174 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1034 -0.3% -9.8% 96% 4% -10.0%
≤30d 1744 -0.6% -10.1% 96% 5% -10.3%
≤90d 1744 -0.6% -10.1% 96% 5% -10.3%
all 1744 -0.6% -10.1% 96% 5% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover174.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 5% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 1% -18.9%
15% -26.6% 0% -26.7%
20% -33.8% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
92% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$11 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.82 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$143
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses1670 / 74
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1744 / 1744
History coverage10d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day174.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1744 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$3 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $12 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $12 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $12 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records