Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:30:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x20d2…e29d
crypto · 366 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$89 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$82 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$199
Realized−$82
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses189 / 175
Open positions2
Markets (closed)364 / 366
Avg bet$101
Trades / day2905.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 364 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$82
7 days−$82
14 days−$82
30 days−$82
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 55¢ 100¢ $56 $102 +$46 (+82%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 46¢ 100¢ $23 $50 +$27 (+116%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 65¢ 100¢ $31 $47 +$16 (+53%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-88%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $168 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $179 −$30 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $125 −$6 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $91 +$14 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $70 −$11 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $79 +$34 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $115 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $171 −$21 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $65 −$4 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $107 −$26 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $68 +$20 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $79 +$21 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $79 +$21 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$20 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $77 +$27 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $69 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $84 +$16 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $182 +$13 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $92 −$26 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $156 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $135 −$19 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $93 −$40 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$25 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $165 +$45 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $91 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $122 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $97 −$17 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $106 −$9 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $89 −$12 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $216 −$35 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $143 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $131 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$8 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $57 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$22 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $77 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $120 −$5 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $218 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $191 −$40 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $383 −$21 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$13 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $165 −$6 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $79 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $291 +$10 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $147 +$3 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$94
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $30 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $24 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $9 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $12 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $57 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $9 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $11 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $42 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $51 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $37 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $16 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $39 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $32 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $51 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $43 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $57 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $12 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $22 12m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-5.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 364 +4.9% -5.1% 52% 30% -9.7%
≤30d 364 +4.9% -5.1% 52% 30% -9.7%
≤90d 364 +4.9% -5.1% 52% 30% -9.7%
all 364 +4.9% -5.1% 52% 30% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2905.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.1% 30% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -14.2% 20% -18.4%
15% -22.5% 12% -26.3%
20% -30.1% 6% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $199.10 · official $198.83 (match) · 3500 history records