Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:40:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x20e0…caa7
crypto · 572 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$131 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$135 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$135
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses272 / 299
Open positions1
Markets (closed)571 / 572
History coverage8d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day171.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 571 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$125
7 days−$128
14 days−$135
30 days−$135
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 23¢ 66¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+189%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$7 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$22 +230%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$11 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$9 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$59 +616%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$9 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$10 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -77%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$131
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 536 -8.9% -17.6% 47% 42% -11.7%
≤30d 571 -8.3% -17.0% 48% 43% -11.7%
≤90d 571 -8.3% -17.0% 48% 43% -11.7%
all 571 -8.3% -17.0% 48% 43% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover171.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.0% 43% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -24.9% 34% -20.2%
15% -32.2% 29% -27.9%
20% -38.8% 23% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.75 · official $2.47 · 1572 history records