Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:22:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x20e2…7cf6
crypto · 173 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$34 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$27 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$164
Realized+$27
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses161 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions9
Markets (closed)164 / 173
History coverage8d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day20.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 9 History 164 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$16
7 days+$46
14 days+$27
30 days+$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+? No 98¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%? No 96¢ 100¢ $19 $20 +$1 (+4%)
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%? No 99¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%? No 98¢ 98¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Ethereum Up or Down on June 14? Down 99¢ 98¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be greater than 85%? No 98¢ 98¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%? No 92¢ 100¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 98¢ 97¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 97¢ 96¢ $15 $14 −$0 (-1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 +$1 +9%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 +$1 +9%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? Jun 11 $19 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 11? Jun 11 $14 +$1 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% +$25
politics 5% +$2
finance 2% +$1
other 1% +$1
sports 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 10m
Ethereum Up or Down on June 14? BUY Down 99¢ $20 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $15 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $14 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Up 99¢ $20 24h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $14 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? BUY No 97¢ $15 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $14 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 35h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 38h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $14 39h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $15 43h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $14 44h
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12? BUY Yes 98¢ $15 2d
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $15 2d
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $20 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? BUY Yes 91¢ $15 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? BUY No 91¢ $15 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 136 +2.5% -7.2% 99% 0% -7.3%
≤30d 164 +1.3% -8.3% 98% 0% -8.4%
≤90d 164 +1.3% -8.3% 98% 0% -8.4%
all 164 +1.3% -8.3% 98% 0% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.3% 0% -8.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.1% 0% -17.2%
15% -25.1% 0% -25.2%
20% -32.4% 0% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $163.92 · official $163.92 (match) · 336 history records