Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:56:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x20fc…d894
crypto · 291 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$368 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$261 · open +$84
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$290
Realized+$261
Unrealized+$84
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses278 / 11
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)289 / 291
History coverage4d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day73.9
Drawdown31%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 289 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$261
7 days+$261
14 days+$261
30 days+$261
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $156 $257 +$101 (+65%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 95¢ 62¢ $50 $33 −$17 (-34%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +3%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $10 −$8 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +5%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$71
other 3% +$195
sports 0% +$77
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $30 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $30 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $30 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $30 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $30 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $30 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $30 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 289 +2.3% -7.5% 96% 1% -6.9%
≤30d 289 +2.3% -7.5% 96% 1% -6.9%
≤90d 289 +2.3% -7.5% 96% 1% -6.9%
all 289 +2.3% -7.5% 96% 1% -6.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover73.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.5% 1% -6.9%
10% ← realistic here -16.3% 1% -15.8%
15% -24.4% 1% -23.9%
20% -31.8% 1% -31.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $289.69 · official $295.11 · 582 history records