trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +14.7% | +3.7% | 57% | 57% | +26.9% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +4.9% | -5.1% | 50% | 50% | +11.1% |
| all | 21 | -7.3% | -16.1% | 52% | 52% | +10.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.1% | 52% | +10.1% |
| 10% | -24.2% | 43% | -0.4% |
| 15% | -31.5% | 38% | -10.0% |
| 20% | -38.2% | 33% | -18.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 5¢ | $50 | $60 | +$10 (+21%) |
| Will Trinity Tatum win Love Island USA Season 8? | No | 73¢ | 60¢ | $22 | $18 | −$4 (-18%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Son Heungmin: 1+ goals | Jun 19 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Jun 17 | $41 | −$40 | -99% |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Jun 17 | $14 | +$12 | +86% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $68 | +$112 | +163% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $102 | +$111 | +109% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 11 | $202 | +$89 | +44% |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | May 18 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Apr 10 | $165 | −$29 | -18% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Apr 06 | $250 | +$159 | +63% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026? | Mar 17 | $81 | +$56 | +70% |
| Will Trump say "Border" 7+ times during the 2026 State of the Union ad | Mar 17 | $41 | +$9 | +22% |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | Mar 17 | $120 | +$119 | +100% |
| Will Trump say "Texas" during the State of the Union address? | Mar 17 | $25 | +$15 | +58% |
| Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | Feb 25 | $80 | +$26 | +32% |
| Will Trump say "Bessent" during the State of the Union address? | Feb 24 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Tim Walz say "Abortion" 5 or more times during the debate? | Oct 02 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will JD Vance say "Trans" during the debate? | Oct 01 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will JD Vance say "Cat" during the debate? | Oct 01 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will JD Vance say "Usha" during the debate? | Oct 01 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Will Kamala say "Project 2025" at debate? | Sep 21 | $49 | +$8 | +16% |