Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:03:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x20ff…4008
crypto · 93 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,965 -46%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,968 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$49
Realized−$3,968
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses56 / 127
Open positions1
Markets (closed)183 / 93
History coverage1d
Avg bet$92
Trades / day3324.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 183 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,968
7 days−$3,968
14 days−$3,968
30 days−$3,968
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 60¢ 50¢ $33 $28 −$5 (-16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 43¢ 50¢ $18 $21 +$3 (+16%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 HANJIN BRION 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $121 $0 −$121 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs Eintracht Spandau 48¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 Nongshim Esports Academy 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Prestige - Map 2 Winner Sangal ALTERS 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $144 $0 −$144 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner Eternal Fire 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $129 $0 −$129 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 85¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $121 −$121 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Pl Jun 13 $9 −$9 -101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Cha Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Prestige - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$18 +1701%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $144 −$144 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $129 −$129 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $0 −$46 -33000%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $95 −$95 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $85 −$85 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $147 −$147 -100%
Dota 2: Team G vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
LoL: HMBLE vs GMBLERS ESPORTS - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $212 −$212 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $196 −$196 -100%
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Q Jun 13 $3 −$2 -79%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $110 −$110 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $156 −$156 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualif Jun 13 $8 −$10 -132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $147 −$147 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $64 −$64 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$169
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 3m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-41.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 183 -35.0% -41.2% 31% 12% -38.2%
≤30d 183 -35.0% -41.2% 31% 12% -38.2%
≤90d 183 -35.0% -41.2% 31% 12% -38.2%
all 183 -35.0% -41.2% 31% 12% -38.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3324.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -41.2% 12% -38.2%
10% ← realistic here -46.8% 2% -44.1%
15% -52.0% 2% -49.5%
20% -56.7% 2% -54.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $48.71 · official $49.47 (match) · 3500 history records