Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:25:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

21
0x2119…1e8f
sports · 120 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$453 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$446 · open +$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$379
Realized+$446
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses95 / 17
Est. fees paid−$15
Open positions8
Markets (closed)112 / 120
History coverage4d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day50.2
Drawdown18%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 8 History 112 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$313
7 days+$446
14 days+$446
30 days+$446
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? Yes 97¢ 99¢ $100 $102 +$2 (+2%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 83¢ 83¢ $100 $100 −$0 (-0%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Golden State Valkyries 80¢ 76¢ $62 $59 −$3 (-4%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Over 75¢ 100¢ $29 $39 +$10 (+33%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Ben Shelton 47¢ 48¢ $20 $20 +$1 (+3%)
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 94¢ 92¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Gen.G 79¢ 78¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 13? No 72¢ 64¢ $22 $19 −$2 (-11%)
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 4.5 Under 86¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Elena Rybakina 55¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Partizan Sangal 80¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Partizan Sangal 88¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5 Under 85¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Corentin Moutet 68¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 84¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Misa Esports 86¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 65¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5 Over 93¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Under 89¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $50 +$10 +20%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $50 +$10 +20%
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs Outlast (BO1) - North Americ Jun 12 $69 +$13 +19%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $49 +$4 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $123 +$30 +25%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $21 +$5 +23%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Jun 12 $20 +$3 +13%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $45 +$10 +21%
Valencia vs. Joventut Jun 12 $50 +$15 +30%
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap in Practice 2 at the 2026 Jun 12 $20 +$2 +8%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $38 −$38 -99%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $110 +$12 +11%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $70 +$47 +67%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $12 +$5 +40%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $94 +$48 +51%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $51 +$9 +18%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $40 +$34 +86%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $53 +$7 +13%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $115 −$15 -13%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $100 +$13 +13%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $30 +$8 +26%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $100 +$17 +17%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $19 −$19 -99%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $30 +$6 +20%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $50 +$7 +13%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Rainbow Six Siege: Five Fears vs Shopify Rebellion (BO1) - North Ameri Jun 11 $50 +$3 +6%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $98 +$6 +6%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $19 +$1 +3%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $111 +$6 +5%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $211 +$50 +24%
Barcelona vs. La Laguna Tenerife Jun 11 $100 +$11 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $30 +$1 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 11? Jun 11 $67 +$5 +8%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $88 +$10 +11%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $50 −$50 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $72 +$47 +65%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 11 $100 +$8 +8%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $39 −$39 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $42 −$42 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $70 +$6 +8%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $19 +$5 +26%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $103 +$25 +25%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $20 −$5 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$2 +8%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $96 +$34 +36%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $20 +$8 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +2%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $19 +$2 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 58% +$217
crypto 24% +$147
other 10% +$52
weather 8% +$37
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $60 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 75¢ $29 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $60 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 83¢ $50 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 83¢ $40 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 84¢ $10 1h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 80¢ $62 4h
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs Outlast (BO1) - North Americ SELL Spacestation Gaming 100¢ $82 4h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 83¢ $101 4h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 47¢ $20 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 97¢ $100 5h
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs Outlast (BO1) - North Americ BUY Spacestation Gaming 80¢ $50 5h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 79¢ $20 5h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 13? BUY No 72¢ $22 5h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $54 5h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $154 5h
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs Outlast (BO1) - North Americ BUY Spacestation Gaming 94¢ $19 6h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 82¢ $45 7h
Valencia vs. Joventut SELL Valencia 100¢ $65 7h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Canada 88¢ $20 7h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 81¢ $21 8h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 55¢ $38 9h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C SELL G2 NORD 100¢ $122 9h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 100¢ $116 9h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY G2 NORD 88¢ $50 9h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 68¢ $50 9h
Valencia vs. Joventut BUY Valencia 76¢ $50 10h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 44¢ $19 10h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner SELL Misa Esports 100¢ $17 11h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $143 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 112 +1.0% -8.6% 85% 50% -1.6%
≤30d 112 +1.0% -8.6% 85% 50% -1.6%
≤90d 112 +1.0% -8.6% 85% 50% -1.6%
all 112 +1.0% -8.6% 85% 50% -1.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover50.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 50% -1.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.3% 15% -11.0%
15% -25.3% 8% -19.6%
20% -32.6% 4% -27.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $378.74 · official $378.74 (match) · 263 history records