trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50¢ | 85¢ | $6 | $10 | +$4 (+70%) |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50¢ | 15¢ | $6 | $2 | −$4 (-70%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | Nov 20 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Spread: Clippers (-6.5) | Nov 12 | $9 | −$4 | -44% |
| Hawks vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5 | Nov 12 | $4 | +$5 | +117% |
| Panthers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 | Nov 12 | $89 | −$11 | -13% |
| Spread: Clippers (-4.5) | Nov 12 | $6,880 | −$5,142 | -75% |
| Panthers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 | Nov 12 | $520 | +$467 | +90% |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | Nov 12 | $55,583 | −$13,473 | -24% |
| Panthers vs. Golden Knights | Nov 12 | $5,583 | +$5,609 | +100% |
| Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2025-11-10? | Nov 11 | $129 | +$26 | +20% |
| Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2025-11-10? | Nov 11 | $203 | +$100 | +49% |
| Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2025-11-10? | Nov 11 | $11 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will CD Riestra vs. CA Independiente end in a draw? | Nov 11 | $82 | −$80 | -97% |
| Will CA Independiente win on 2025-11-10? | Nov 11 | $260 | −$243 | -94% |
| Spread: Oilers (-1.5) | Nov 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs. The Citadel Bulldogs | Nov 11 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Central Córdoba end in a draw? | Nov 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: Suns (-6.5) | Nov 11 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Spread: Bucks (-1.5) | Nov 11 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2025-11-10? | Nov 11 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger- | Nov 11 | $14 | −$5 | -38% |
| 1H Spread: Packers (-1.5) | Nov 11 | $74 | −$74 | -100% |
| Spread: Rangers (-1.5) | Nov 11 | $149 | −$149 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Galorys (BO3) | Nov 11 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Blue Jackets vs. Oilers | Nov 11 | $143 | −$143 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Mavericks: 1H Moneyline | Nov 11 | $235 | −$221 | -94% |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Nov 11 | $187 | −$187 | -100% |
| 1H Spread: Packers (-0.5) | Nov 11 | $370 | −$370 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5 | Nov 11 | $2,412 | −$2,412 | -100% |
| Predators vs. Rangers | Nov 11 | $2,842 | −$2,842 | -100% |
| Eagles vs. Packers: O/U 45.5 | Nov 11 | $6,330 | −$6,330 | -100% |
| Islanders vs. Devils | Nov 11 | $9,257 | −$9,257 | -100% |
| Spread: Magic (-2.5) | Nov 11 | $0 | $0 | +96% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Magic | Nov 11 | $25,271 | −$9,163 | -36% |
| Spread: Suns (-8.5) | Nov 11 | $2,892 | −$2,475 | -86% |
| Timberwolves vs. Jazz | Nov 11 | $3,750 | −$449 | -12% |
| Delaware State Hornets vs. Niagara Purple Eagles | Nov 11 | $6 | −$3 | -53% |
| Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield end in a dr | Nov 11 | $2 | +$1 | +41% |
| Pelicans vs. Suns: O/U 229.5 | Nov 11 | $3 | +$2 | +82% |
| Presbyterian Blue Hose vs. Georgia State Panthers | Nov 11 | $10 | +$1 | +6% |
| Lakers vs. Hornets: 1H Moneyline | Nov 11 | $7 | +$3 | +39% |
| Lakers vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5 | Nov 11 | $4 | +$6 | +133% |
| Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) | Nov 11 | $23 | −$10 | -42% |
| UNCW Seahawks vs. Kent State Golden Flashes | Nov 11 | $334 | −$314 | -94% |
| Pelicans vs. Suns | Nov 11 | $103 | −$90 | -87% |
| Spread: Lakers (-7.5) | Nov 11 | $7 | +$7 | +108% |
| Spread: Suns (-7.5) | Nov 11 | $9 | +$9 | +96% |
| Cavaliers vs. Heat: O/U 248.5 | Nov 11 | $9 | +$11 | +113% |
| Predators vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5 | Nov 11 | $125 | −$96 | -77% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5) | Nov 11 | $14 | +$15 | +104% |
| Islanders vs. Devils: O/U 6.5 | Nov 11 | $16 | +$13 | +84% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BUY No | 99¢ | $10 | 203d |
| Will FC Nantes win on 2025-11-08? | SELL No | 100¢ | $6,558 | 203d |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | SELL Hawks | 96¢ | $1,218 | 213d |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | SELL Hawks | 84¢ | $17 | 213d |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | SELL Hawks | 84¢ | $22 | 213d |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | SELL Hawks | 84¢ | $63 | 213d |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | SELL Hawks | 84¢ | $4 | 213d |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | SELL Hawks | 84¢ | $840 | 213d |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | BUY Clippers | 16¢ | $131 | 213d |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | BUY Hawks | 84¢ | $5 | 213d |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | BUY Hawks | 84¢ | $26 | 213d |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | BUY Hawks | 84¢ | $60 | 213d |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | BUY Hawks | 84¢ | $37 | 213d |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | BUY Hawks | 84¢ | $525 | 213d |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | BUY Hawks | 84¢ | $1,375 | 213d |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | SELL Clippers | 15¢ | $6 | 213d |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | SELL Clippers | 15¢ | $18 | 213d |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | SELL Clippers | 15¢ | $21 | 213d |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | BUY Hawks | 84¢ | $333 | 213d |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | BUY Hawks | 84¢ | $6 | 213d |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | BUY Hawks | 84¢ | $26 | 213d |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | BUY Clippers | 23¢ | $837 | 213d |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | BUY Clippers | 24¢ | $233 | 213d |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | SELL Hawks | 76¢ | $8,174 | 213d |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | BUY Clippers | 24¢ | $627 | 213d |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | BUY Clippers | 24¢ | $2 | 213d |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | BUY Clippers | 24¢ | $231 | 213d |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | SELL Clippers | 30¢ | $25 | 213d |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | SELL Clippers | 30¢ | $60 | 213d |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | SELL Clippers | 30¢ | $8 | 213d |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 119 | +57.4% | +42.4% | 59% | 52% | -9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +42.4% | 52% | -9.1% |
| 10% | +28.8% | 46% | -17.8% |
| 15% ← realistic here | +16.3% | 41% | -25.7% |
| 20% | +4.9% | 34% | -33.0% |