Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:32:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

21
0x2132…0f33
crypto · 1626 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$17 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$2
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1600 / 26
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1626 / 1626
Avg bet$2
Trades / day25.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 0 History 1626 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days−$3
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1PM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 5PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 8AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$14
other 7% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 +0.6% -9.0% 100% 0% -9.0%
≤30d 447 -0.5% -10.0% 98% 0% -10.0%
≤90d 1626 -0.5% -10.0% 98% 0% -10.0%
all 1626 -0.5% -10.0% 98% 0% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 0% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 0% -18.6%
15% -26.5% 0% -26.5%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.00 · official $2.00 (match) · 3232 history records