Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:26:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

21
0x2135…a6b2
crypto · 73 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$10 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$83
Realized+$2
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses64 / 8
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)72 / 73
History coverage216d
Avg bet$229
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 1 History 72 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$83
7 days+$100
14 days+$117
30 days+$118
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score Yes 57¢ 50¢ $95 $83 −$12 (-13%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $102 +$21 +20%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $54 +$56 +105%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $181 −$10 -5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $475 +$16 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 10 $461 +$8 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $451 +$7 +2%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $415 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $3 +$1 +30%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $150 +$9 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $145 +$4 +3%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Jun 03 $288 +$4 +1%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 May 23 $137 +$1 +1%
Trump out as President by June 30? May 20 $145 $0 +0%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? May 14 $136 +$1 +1%
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? May 08 $277 +$2 +1%
Trump out as President by May 31? May 05 $138 +$1 +1%
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Apr 18 $270 +$1 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? Apr 13 $138 $0 +0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? Apr 09 $134 +$3 +2%
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? Apr 05 $137 $0 +0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m Mar 30 $406 +$2 +0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? Mar 28 $286 +$1 +0%
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2? Mar 09 $21 +$1 +4%
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? Feb 28 $392 −$193 -49%
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? Feb 27 $410 +$4 +1%
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? Feb 23 $606 +$1 +0%
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? Feb 21 $612 +$2 +0%
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? Feb 20 $793 +$7 +1%
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? Feb 19 $193 +$2 +1%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Feb 09 $589 +$1 +0%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? Jan 26 $197 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jan 21 $10 −$7 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jan 21 $4 +$3 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jan 21 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jan 21 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 20? Jan 21 $206 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 18? Jan 20 $205 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 17? Jan 18 $205 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 13? Jan 16 $203 +$1 +0%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Jan 13 $204 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 5? Jan 12 $204 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 4? Jan 05 $203 +$1 +0%
Xi Jinping out in 2025? Jan 02 $203 +$1 +0%
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? Dec 14 $821 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 8? Dec 09 $231 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 7? Dec 07 $104 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 7? Dec 07 $126 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 6? Dec 07 $125 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 5? Dec 06 $229 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 3? Dec 04 $228 +$1 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 50% +$90
world 31% −$174
other 10% +$24
economics 5% +$3
politics 2% +$1
sports 1% +$44
finance 1% $0
tech 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 57¢ $58 47m
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 56¢ $20 47m
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 56¢ $3 47m
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 56¢ $15 47m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 73¢ $123 49m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 55¢ $33 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $69 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $29 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $24 5h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 86¢ $171 29h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 90¢ $31 36h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 90¢ $73 36h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 90¢ $11 36h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 90¢ $65 36h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL No 98¢ $491 47h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 95¢ $448 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 95¢ $3 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 95¢ $2 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 95¢ $2 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 95¢ $2 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 95¢ $2 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 95¢ $2 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 95¢ $7 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 95¢ $3 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 95¢ $2 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 95¢ $2 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 95¢ $2 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $469 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? BUY No 98¢ $0 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? BUY No 98¢ $166 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +19.6% +8.2% 75% 38% -5.3%
≤30d 13 +12.9% +2.2% 85% 23% -6.0%
≤90d 22 +7.9% -2.4% 91% 14% -7.1%
all 72 +1.2% -8.4% 89% 7% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.4% 7% -9.5%
10% -17.2% 6% -18.2%
15% -25.2% 3% -26.1%
20% -32.5% 3% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $83.01 · official $83.01 (match) · 290 history records