trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -40.0% | -45.8% | 40% | 40% | -23.1% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -27.4% | -34.3% | 31% | 31% | -11.7% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -27.4% | -34.3% | 31% | 31% | -11.7% |
| all | 16 | -27.4% | -34.3% | 31% | 31% | -11.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -34.3% | 31% | -11.7% |
| 10% | -40.6% | 31% | -20.2% |
| 15% | -46.4% | 25% | -27.9% |
| 20% | -51.6% | 19% | -35.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 61¢ | 60¢ | $37 | $37 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 64¢ | 52¢ | $20 | $16 | −$4 (-19%) |
| Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 54¢ | 30¢ | $22 | $12 | −$9 (-44%) |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 38¢ | 38¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-15%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | $5 | $6 | +$1 (+15%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 14¢ | $1 | $2 | +$1 (+81%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 6¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-18%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 8¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-27%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 4¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-29%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 25 | $12 | +$8 | +67% |
| Will Trump's remarks not air? | Jun 25 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $25 | −$25 | -98% |
| Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $53 | +$17 | +32% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $21 | −$21 | -99% |
| Argentina to score first vs. Algeria? | Jun 17 | $15 | +$6 | +38% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | Jun 16 | $5 | +$19 | +351% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$2 | -18% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $63 | +$57 | +90% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |