trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | +42.8% | +29.2% | 65% | 65% | +30.8% |
| ≤30d | 23 | +42.8% | +29.2% | 65% | 65% | +30.8% |
| ≤90d | 23 | +42.8% | +29.2% | 65% | 65% | +30.8% |
| all | 23 | +42.8% | +29.2% | 65% | 65% | +30.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +29.2% | 65% | +30.8% |
| 10% | +16.9% | 65% | +18.2% |
| 15% | +5.6% | 65% | +6.8% |
| 20% | -4.8% | 65% | -3.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $200 | $171 | −$29 (-15%) |
| United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 52¢ | 52¢ | $30 | $30 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 45¢ | 44¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 52¢ | 52¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $30 | +$33 | +109% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $30 | +$31 | +101% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $41 | −$40 | -99% |
| Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $31 | +$43 | +140% |
| England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $30 | +$33 | +109% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $20 | +$28 | +140% |
| Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $30 | +$33 | +109% |
| Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $30 | −$30 | -98% |
| France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score | Jun 16 | $41 | +$43 | +105% |
| IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score | Jun 16 | $31 | +$38 | +124% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score | Jun 15 | $30 | +$31 | +101% |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5 | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 15 | $30 | +$29 | +97% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $30 | +$25 | +83% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $20 | +$23 | +114% |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $30 | +$31 | +101% |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $30 | −$15 | -48% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score | Jun 13 | $41 | +$59 | +146% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun | Jun 13 | $52 | −$28 | -54% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $30 | +$33 | +109% |