Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:01:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

21
0x2182…7e0f
crypto · 84 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$13 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$24 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$92
Realized+$24
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses37 / 40
Open positions7
Markets (closed)77 / 84
History coverage16d
Avg bet$48
Trades / day33.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 7 History 77 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days+$109
14 days+$34
30 days+$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 13? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $49 $50 +$1 (+2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? Yes 82¢ 100¢ $20 $25 +$5 (+22%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15? No 92¢ 94¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? No 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? Yes 8¢ 2¢ $4 $1 −$3 (-79%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 15? No 11¢ 1¢ $6 $1 −$5 (-88%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16? No 90¢ 90¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Yes 96¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 14? No 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-96%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +37%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $101 +$6 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $144 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $45 +$14 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$7 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +18%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $136 +$9 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $100 +$11 +11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $194 +$12 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 09 $38 −$12 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$9 +213%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $10 $0 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $283 +$25 +9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $159 $0 -0%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 8? Jun 08 $31 −$12 -37%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 08 $9 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 08 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $2 −$1 -43%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $18 +$1 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $26 +$66 +249%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 07 $6 +$17 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 07 $8 +$4 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 07 $13 +$6 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 07 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 07 $7 +$9 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -60%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $63 −$11 -17%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 12? Jun 06 $7 $0 -2%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 5? Jun 05 $26 −$2 -7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $60 +$7 +11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $304 −$27 -9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15? SELL Yes 6¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15? SELL No 92¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15? BUY No 92¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15? SELL Yes 11¢ $0 12h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16? SELL No 79¢ $1 12h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16? SELL No 85¢ $0 13h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15? SELL Yes 10¢ $0 13h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15? BUY No 90¢ $9 15h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 5¢ $0 17h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 15? SELL No 1¢ $0 18h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16? SELL No 86¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $8 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 26h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15? SELL No 85¢ $8 28h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15? BUY No 87¢ $7 28h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15? BUY No 86¢ $8 28h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 8¢ $4 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-20.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -9.8% -18.4% 49% 34% -2.2%
≤30d 77 -12.0% -20.4% 48% 31% -8.7%
≤90d 77 -12.0% -20.4% 48% 31% -8.7%
all 77 -12.0% -20.4% 48% 31% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.4% 31% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -28.0% 23% -17.4%
15% -35.0% 21% -25.4%
20% -41.3% 16% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $92.26 · official $90.32 · 635 history records