trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 25 | -14.9% | -23.0% | 36% | 8% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -23.0% | 8% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -30.4% | 0% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -37.1% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -43.3% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 97¢ | 12¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-87%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Jun 22 | $80 | $0 | -0% |
| Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next | Jun 22 | $75 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Jun 22 | $70 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 15 | $1,000 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | May 15 | $188 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? | May 15 | $156 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 24 | $270 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 24 | $500 | −$1 | -0% |
| Khamenei public appearance by February 13, 2026? | Feb 10 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Sydney Sweeney apologize for her jeans ad in 2025? | Feb 10 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Trump and Zelenskyy not shake hands on October 17? | Nov 08 | $6 | −$1 | -16% |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-09-28? | Sep 19 | $2 | −$1 | -71% |
| Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record? | Aug 16 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Trump criminalizes desecrating the American flag before August? | Aug 16 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Han Duck-soo register for presidential run? | Jul 04 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before March? | May 11 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will there be less than 2 inches of snow in NYC in Jan? | Feb 17 | $4 | $0 | +2% |
| Will 'Anora' win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay? | Jan 08 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Elon Musk bans Apple devices at his companies? | Jan 08 | $6 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the Eastern Conference? | Dec 28 | $349 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Cam Ward win the Heisman Trophy? | Dec 24 | $2 | $0 | +11% |
| Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more? | Nov 09 | $5 | +$1 | +19% |
| Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? | Oct 04 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the USA win Gold in Women's Basketball? | Sep 01 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Tether Insolvent in 2024? | Aug 06 | $89 | −$3 | -4% |