Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:04:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

21
0x218f…17bc
crypto · 116 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$167 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$180 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$427
Realized+$180
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses64 / 51
Open positions1
Markets (closed)115 / 116
History coverage1d
Avg bet$106
Trades / day3385.0
Drawdown76%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 115 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$180
7 days+$180
14 days+$180
30 days+$180
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 68¢ 64¢ $338 $318 −$21 (-6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 41¢ 36¢ $122 $110 −$12 (-10%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $441 +$79 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $435 +$45 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $210 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $284 −$4 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $54 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $127 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $97 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $209 +$31 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $106 −$16 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $189 +$11 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $258 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $85 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $172 +$8 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $192 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $48 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$8 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $134 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$5 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $83 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $69 +$11 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $223 −$33 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $119 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $299 +$31 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $162 +$28 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $143 −$23 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $125 −$5 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$13 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $94 +$16 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $159 −$14 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $82 +$8 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $149 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $90 −$5 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $66 +$9 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $125 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $67 −$12 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $131 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$19 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $61 −$6 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $196 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $125 +$10 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$10 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $118 −$13 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $85 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$167
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $18 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $16 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $17 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $16 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $15 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $17 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $16 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $15 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $15 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $14 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $12 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $18 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $18 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $17 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $17 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $14 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $13 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $12 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $9 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $12 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $12 3m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 115 +1.4% -8.3% 56% 20% -8.1%
≤30d 115 +1.4% -8.3% 56% 20% -8.1%
≤90d 115 +1.4% -8.3% 56% 20% -8.1%
all 115 +1.4% -8.3% 56% 20% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3385.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.3% 20% -8.1%
10% ← realistic here -17.1% 3% -16.9%
15% -25.1% 2% -25.0%
20% -32.4% 0% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $427.00 · official $406.20 · 3500 history records