trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -20.0% | -27.6% | 50% | 50% | -28.4% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -32.9% | -39.3% | 50% | 25% | -32.2% |
| all | 17 | -28.3% | -35.1% | 29% | 18% | -30.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -35.1% | 18% | -30.7% |
| 10% | -41.3% | 12% | -37.3% |
| 15% | -47.0% | 12% | -43.4% |
| 20% | -52.2% | 12% | -48.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 57¢ | 57¢ | $50 | $51 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 54¢ | 14¢ | $145 | $36 | −$109 (-75%) |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq? | Yes | 17¢ | 22¢ | $3 | $4 | +$1 (+29%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 22 | $204 | −$204 | -100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Jun 13 | $200 | +$120 | +60% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Mar 26 | $39 | −$39 | -100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Mar 26 | $36 | +$3 | +8% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | Mar 18 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 28? | Mar 18 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026? | Mar 18 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026? | Mar 18 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | Mar 18 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2? | Mar 18 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Mar 16 | $37 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026 | Mar 05 | $4 | +$1 | +19% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Feb 28 | $22 | +$66 | +293% |
| Counter-Strike: ENCE Academy vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qual | Feb 28 | $3 | $0 | -2% |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | Feb 27 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | Feb 26 | $15 | −$5 | -33% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Feb 25 | $50 | −$13 | -26% |