trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 26 | -21.4% | -28.9% | 42% | 27% | -38.4% |
| ≤30d | 26 | -21.4% | -28.9% | 42% | 27% | -38.4% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -21.4% | -28.9% | 42% | 27% | -38.4% |
| all | 26 | -21.4% | -28.9% | 42% | 27% | -38.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -28.9% | 27% | -38.4% |
| 10% | -35.7% | 19% | -44.3% |
| 15% | -41.9% | 19% | -49.7% |
| 20% | -47.6% | 19% | -54.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? | No | 47¢ | 50¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+5%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 57¢ | 56¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 24¢ | 25¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 76¢ | 76¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 15¢ | 10¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-33%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asuncion 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Gustavo Almeida | Jun 17 | $3 | $0 | +6% |
| Nottingham 2: Dane Sweeny vs Jacob Fearnley | Jun 16 | $6 | $0 | +7% |
| Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026 | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | -8% |
| Royan: Daniel Jade vs Michael Zhu | Jun 16 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Parma: Daniel Galan vs Zsombor Piros | Jun 16 | $3 | +$2 | +77% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $2 | +$5 | +238% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | +17% |
| Nottingham 2: Oliver Tarvet vs Roman Safiullin | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Nigeria | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | +11% |
| Halle Open: Terence Atmane vs Martin Landaluce | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Spain leading at halftime? | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $2 | +$2 | +90% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Sweden to win the second half? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$2 | +105% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$3 | +291% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $4 | −$3 | -85% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Halle Open, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Alex Bolt | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro | Jun 13 | $21 | −$10 | -47% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |