Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:24:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

21
0x21d0…e8d7
crypto · 464 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$7,600 +20%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,628 · open −$28
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$88
Realized+$7,628
Unrealized−$28
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses241 / 216
Whale WR (big bets)70%
Open positions7
Markets (closed)457 / 464
History coverage1d
Avg bet$82
Trades / day3034.0
Drawdown15%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 7 History 457 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7,628
7 days+$7,628
14 days+$7,628
30 days+$7,628
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 45¢ 62¢ $22 $31 +$8 (+38%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 50¢ 77¢ $10 $15 +$6 (+56%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 46¢ 92¢ $5 $9 +$5 (+101%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Up 49¢ 62¢ $6 $8 +$2 (+28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Down 51¢ 38¢ $9 $7 −$2 (-26%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 0¢ 48¢ $0 $5 +$5 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 49¢ 8¢ $30 $5 −$25 (-85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 39¢ 38¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 47¢ 23¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-51%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 0¢ 49¢ $0 $2 +$2 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 48¢ 6¢ $5 $1 −$5 (-87%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +104%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$16 +108%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$15 +106%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $116 +$54 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $134 −$38 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$5 +104%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +104%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$18 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET Jun 13 $269 −$207 -77%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$10 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$11 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $106 −$33 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$22 -69%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$6 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $70 +$30 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$26 +108%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $204 −$70 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $160 −$50 -31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$20 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$22 -91%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$25 +114%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $81 −$63 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +85%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $119 −$119 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $99 +$8 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$28 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $199 −$79 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$11 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$11 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $85 +$7 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$11 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $227 −$43 -19%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$16 -65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$7,600
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $13 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $28 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $6 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 13m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+0.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 457 +10.6% +0.1% 53% 50% +8.7%
≤30d 457 +10.6% +0.1% 53% 50% +8.7%
≤90d 457 +10.6% +0.1% 53% 50% +8.7%
all 457 +10.6% +0.1% 53% 50% +8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3034.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.1% 50% +8.7%
10% ← realistic here -9.5% 48% -1.7%
15% -18.2% 46% -11.2%
20% -26.3% 43% -19.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $88.19 · official $90.23 · 3500 history records