Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:36:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

21
0x21e6…02f8
crypto · 47 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$530 +19%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$530 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$530
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses17 / 30
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)47 / 47
History coverage8d
Avg bet$61
Trades / day49.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 47 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$814
7 days+$575
14 days+$530
30 days+$530
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$8 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$34 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $543 +$585 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $146 −$146 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $346 +$357 +103%
Panathinaikos vs. Olympiacos B.C. Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $169 +$98 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $12 +$46 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 09 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 09 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 09 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 09 $365 −$365 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 09 $59 +$75 +126%
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos Jun 08 $18 +$7 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 07 $34 −$34 -100%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 07 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 07 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 07 $8 +$10 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 07 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 07 $135 −$135 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 07 $1 +$9 +841%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 07 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 07 $182 +$270 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 06 $4 +$4 +97%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 06 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 06 $29 −$29 -100%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5) Jun 06 $6 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 06 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 06 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 06 $146 +$151 +104%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $14 −$14 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5 Jun 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 06 $29 +$37 +130%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $97 −$97 -100%
Panathinaikos vs. Olympiacos B.C. Jun 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $35 +$51 +146%
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs LGD Gaming (+2.5) Jun 05 $34 −$34 -100%
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) Jun 05 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 04 $14 +$21 +157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 04 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% +$731
sports 11% −$201
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $15 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $12 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $11 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $0 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $35 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $0 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $9 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $9 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $97 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $7 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $9 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $85 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $46 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $7 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $76 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $76 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 +1.1% -8.5% 37% 37% +9.2%
≤30d 47 -2.1% -11.4% 36% 36% +7.3%
≤90d 47 -2.1% -11.4% 36% 36% +7.3%
all 47 -2.1% -11.4% 36% 36% +7.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover49.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 36% +7.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 36% -3.0%
15% -27.6% 36% -12.3%
20% -34.7% 34% -20.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 440 history records