trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-10? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | $13 | $14 | +$2 (+15%) |
| Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? | Yes | 58¢ | 56¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Jun 12 | $49 | −$3 | -7% |
| Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-10? | Jun 11 | $13 | +$2 | +15% |
| Will June 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? | May 29 | $0 | +$1 | +453% |
| BC Dubai vs. Buducnost | May 25 | $33 | −$6 | -20% |
| Who will finish higher: Norris or Hamilton? | May 25 | $5 | −$1 | -12% |
| Will Tgr Haas achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Pr | May 21 | $5 | $0 | -3% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 20 | $97 | −$6 | -6% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +3.8% | -6.1% | 50% | 50% | -11.9% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +59.9% | +44.7% | 29% | 29% | -15.8% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +59.9% | +44.7% | 29% | 29% | -15.8% |
| all | 7 | +59.9% | +44.7% | 29% | 29% | -15.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +44.7% | 29% | -15.8% |
| 10% | +30.8% | 14% | -23.9% |
| 15% | +18.2% | 14% | -31.2% |
| 20% | +6.6% | 14% | -38.0% |