trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -14.6% | -22.7% | 43% | 29% | -33.4% |
| ≤30d | 19 | -12.6% | -20.9% | 42% | 32% | -15.3% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -12.6% | -20.9% | 42% | 32% | -15.3% |
| all | 19 | -12.6% | -20.9% | 42% | 32% | -15.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.9% | 32% | -15.3% |
| 10% | -28.5% | 32% | -23.4% |
| 15% | -35.4% | 21% | -30.8% |
| 20% | -41.7% | 16% | -37.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 82¢ | 87¢ | $16 | $17 | +$1 (+7%) |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 79¢ | 81¢ | $15 | $15 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 84¢ | 88¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+5%) |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 81¢ | 80¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 88¢ | 89¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $15 | +$4 | +24% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$9 | -87% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$1 | -9% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 15 | $154 | −$65 | -42% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $41 | +$44 | +109% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | Jun 14 | $16 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $53 | −$53 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | Jun 12 | $111 | +$3 | +2% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $101 | +$42 | +41% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET | Jun 11 | $8 | −$7 | -86% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | Jun 11 | $10 | +$3 | +27% |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? | Jun 11 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | Jun 11 | $10 | +$9 | +88% |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | Jun 09 | $15 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 9? | Jun 09 | $5 | +$10 | +196% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on June 9? | Jun 09 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 9? | Jun 09 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Jun 08 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 8? | Jun 08 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |