Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:03:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

22
0x220b…9bd5
crypto · 482 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$133 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$130 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$130
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses185 / 296
Open positions1
Markets (closed)481 / 482
History coverage3d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day1070.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 481 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$111
7 days−$130
14 days−$130
30 days−$130
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 30¢ 6¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-82%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$5 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$6 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$8 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +161%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$6 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$5 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$7 +168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$133
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $12 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $11 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 27m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-28.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 481 -20.4% -28.0% 38% 37% -13.4%
≤30d 481 -20.4% -28.0% 38% 37% -13.4%
≤90d 481 -20.4% -28.0% 38% 37% -13.4%
all 481 -20.4% -28.0% 38% 37% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1070.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.0% 37% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -34.9% 35% -21.7%
15% -41.2% 31% -29.3%
20% -47.0% 26% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.55 · official $1.15 (match) · 3500 history records