Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:31:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

22
0x220b…a5cb
crypto · 19 markets active 1h ago
6.0score
+$4 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses18 / 1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)19 / 19
Avg bet$5
Trades / day24.0
Drawdown2%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 19 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $7 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-4.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +5.2% -4.8% 95% 11% -5.5%
≤30d 19 +5.2% -4.8% 95% 11% -5.5%
≤90d 19 +5.2% -4.8% 95% 11% -5.5%
all 19 +5.2% -4.8% 95% 11% -5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.8% 11% -5.5%
10% ← realistic here -13.9% 5% -14.5%
15% -22.2% 5% -22.8%
20% -29.8% 0% -30.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 50 history records