Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:04:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

22
0x2214…cf41
crypto · 1322 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$102 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$104 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized−$104
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses1098 / 222
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1320 / 1322
History coverage94d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day34.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1320 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$0
14 days−$518
30 days−$471
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Down 91¢ 98¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+8%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Down 97¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$5 -51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4AM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2AM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2AM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9PM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9PM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET Jun 10 $9 +$2 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1PM ET Jun 10 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1PM ET Jun 10 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Jun 10 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4AM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$3 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10PM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10PM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET Jun 10 $9 −$4 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET Jun 10 $9 −$4 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$4 -35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$3 -29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6PM ET Jun 09 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$4 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$1 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$102
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $9 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $9 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $9 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $9 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $9 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $9 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $9 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $9 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $9 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $9 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 121 +1.0% -8.6% 83% 15% -9.5%
≤30d 528 -0.1% -9.6% 80% 22% -11.5%
≤90d 1281 +1.9% -7.8% 83% 25% -9.6%
all 1320 +2.0% -7.7% 83% 25% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.7% 25% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -16.5% 10% -18.2%
15% -24.6% 5% -26.1%
20% -32.0% 3% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.83 · official $20.64 (match) · 3500 history records