Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:55:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

22
0x2217…1660
sports · 162 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,285 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,654 · open +$81
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,524
Realized−$2,654
Unrealized+$81
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses72 / 81
Whale WR (big bets)52%
Est. fees paid−$282
Open positions9
Markets (closed)153 / 162
History coverage76d
Avg bet$268
Trades / day12.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 9 History 153 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,681
7 days−$2,891
14 days−$3,078
30 days−$2,786
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 60¢ 100¢ $1,095 $1,821 +$726 (+66%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? No 99¢ 100¢ $279 $282 +$3 (+1%)
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes 70¢ 72¢ $132 $135 +$3 (+2%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 49¢ 52¢ $100 $105 +$5 (+5%)
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 48¢ 49¢ $95 $98 +$3 (+3%)
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes 25¢ 32¢ $50 $65 +$15 (+30%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 58¢ 52¢ $9 $8 −$1 (-11%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 46¢ 48¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+5%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-14%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $654 $1 −$653 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Yes 78¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 44¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 M80 37¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Singapore vs. China PR end in a draw? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 86¢ 0¢ $949 $0 −$949 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs JD Gaming 24¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Australia 3 - 0 Türkiye? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs ThunderTalk Gaming 29¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs LGD Gaming 9¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? Jun 14 $191 +$207 +108%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? Jun 14 $206 −$33 -16%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $332 +$95 +28%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $809 +$341 +42%
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? Jun 14 $48 −$46 -97%
Exact Score: Australia 3 - 0 Türkiye? Jun 14 $19 −$18 -97%
Spread: Australia (-1.5) Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 14 $46 +$7 +16%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? Jun 14 $103 −$101 -98%
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 3 Türkiye? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? Jun 14 $341 −$333 -98%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? Jun 14 $8 −$7 -97%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? Jun 14 $37 −$36 -98%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Türkiye? Jun 14 $13 −$13 -97%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Türkiye? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Türkiye? Jun 14 $19 −$18 -97%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $575 +$86 +15%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Morocco? Jun 14 $700 +$8 +1%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? Jun 14 $202 +$3 +2%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $11 +$200 +1740%
Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $991 +$20 +2%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $355 −$11 -3%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $307 −$120 -39%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $448 −$160 -36%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $410 −$274 -67%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $42 −$41 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $13 −$13 -97%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $2,299 +$487 +21%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $210 −$206 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $51 +$24 +48%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Jun 13 $313 +$3 +1%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $1,173 −$986 -84%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $1,552 −$460 -30%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $264 −$20 -7%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $13 −$12 -97%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 13 $921 +$23 +2%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $49 −$7 -14%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $33 +$5 +14%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $18 −$18 -98%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $595 +$1,207 +203%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $556 −$324 -58%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $779 −$105 -14%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $443 +$66 +15%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $853 −$839 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $184 +$20 +11%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $162 +$184 +114%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $1,147 −$318 -28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 70% −$1,594
other 28% −$1,209
crypto 2% +$230
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 81¢ $166 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 81¢ $94 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 81¢ $43 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 84¢ $93 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 20¢ $7 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 26¢ $81 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 73¢ $22 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 71¢ $45 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 70¢ $41 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 98¢ $400 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 71¢ $89 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $180 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 26¢ $8 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 69¢ $14 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $4 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $6 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $15 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 37¢ $30 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 56¢ $41 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 50¢ $8 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 51¢ $37 1h
Exact Score: Australia 3 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 99¢ $279 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 50¢ $4 1h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) BUY Türkiye 44¢ $4 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 49¢ $207 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 31¢ $4 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $17 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $8 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-19.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 77 -7.2% -16.0% 40% 31% -19.4%
≤30d 150 -11.9% -20.3% 47% 34% -16.1%
≤90d 153 -10.7% -19.2% 47% 34% -15.7%
all 153 -10.7% -19.2% 47% 34% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.2% 34% -15.7%
10% -27.0% 22% -23.8%
15% -34.0% 14% -31.2%
20% -40.5% 8% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,524.00 · official $2,524.00 (match) · 1069 history records