Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:18:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

22
0x221b…2cb1
crypto · 1313 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$776 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$776 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$776
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses684 / 629
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1313 / 1313
History coverage24d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day86.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1313 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$52
7 days−$2,160
14 days−$1,189
30 days−$776
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$7 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$16 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$776
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $16 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $9 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $17 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 532 -9.8% -18.4% 47% 47% -46.5%
≤30d 1313 -1.5% -10.8% 52% 52% -12.9%
≤90d 1313 -1.5% -10.8% 52% 52% -12.9%
all 1313 -1.5% -10.8% 52% 52% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover86.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 52% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 51% -21.2%
15% -27.2% 49% -28.8%
20% -34.3% 48% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records