Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:53:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

22
0x221c…899f
crypto · 18 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$3 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$52
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses17 / 0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)17 / 18
History coverage44d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 17 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 15? No 100¢ 100¢ $52 $52 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $51 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $51 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $50 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28? May 28 $50 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22? May 22 $49 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14? May 14 $49 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13? May 13 $49 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12? May 12 $49 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11? May 11 $49 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 10? May 10 $49 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8? May 08 $49 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7? May 07 $49 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6? May 06 $49 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5? May 05 $49 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4? May 04 $49 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3? May 03 $49 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 2? May 02 $49 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +0.9% -8.7% 100% 0% -8.7%
≤30d 5 +0.9% -8.7% 100% 0% -8.7%
≤90d 17 +0.4% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.2%
all 17 +0.4% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.2% 0% -9.2%
10% -17.9% 0% -17.9%
15% -25.8% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $52.00 · official $52.00 (match) · 35 history records