Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:45:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

22
0x2223…2044
crypto · 64 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
−$22 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$22 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$22
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses40 / 24
Open positions0
Markets (closed)64 / 64
History coverage93d
Avg bet$74
Trades / day1.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$13
14 days−$13
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $199 $0 −$199 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $246 $0 −$246 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$4 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Mar 13 $100 −$99 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Mar 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Mar 13 $11 +$6 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Mar 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Mar 12 $100 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12PM ET Mar 12 $50 +$22 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Mar 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Mar 12 $200 −$199 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Mar 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Mar 12 $110 +$36 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Mar 12 $100 +$21 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Mar 12 $100 −$99 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Mar 12 $10 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Mar 12 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Mar 12 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Mar 12 $100 +$43 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Mar 12 $300 +$31 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Mar 11 $250 −$246 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Mar 11 $350 +$58 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Mar 11 $200 +$187 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Mar 11 $100 −$99 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Mar 11 $100 +$21 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Mar 11 $100 +$7 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Mar 11 $100 −$99 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Mar 11 $200 +$56 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Mar 11 $100 +$48 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Mar 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Mar 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Mar 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Mar 11 $200 +$65 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Mar 11 $100 −$99 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Mar 11 $100 −$99 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Mar 11 $100 −$99 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Mar 11 $110 +$68 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Mar 11 $200 +$195 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Mar 11 $210 +$25 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Mar 11 $64 +$37 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Mar 11 $100 +$13 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Mar 11 $300 +$98 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Mar 11 $200 +$97 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1PM ET Mar 11 $13 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Mar 11 $10 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Mar 11 $5 +$4 +82%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $100 91d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $12 91d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 91d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $17 91d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 91d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 91d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 91d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $2 91d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 91d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $103 91d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $100 91d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $38 92d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $34 92d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $50 92d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 92d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-19.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -40.8% -46.4% 29% 14% -21.4%
≤30d 7 -40.8% -46.4% 29% 14% -21.4%
≤90d 7 -40.8% -46.4% 29% 14% -21.4%
all 64 -10.9% -19.4% 62% 52% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.4% 52% -9.9%
10% -27.1% 39% -18.6%
15% -34.1% 25% -26.4%
20% -40.6% 16% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 160 history records