trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | +31.0% | +18.5% | 64% | 64% | -8.7% |
| ≤30d | 29 | +0.6% | -8.9% | 52% | 48% | -14.8% |
| ≤90d | 29 | +0.6% | -8.9% | 52% | 48% | -14.8% |
| all | 32 | +8.0% | -2.3% | 53% | 50% | -0.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.3% | 50% | -0.6% |
| 10% | -11.6% | 47% | -10.1% |
| 15% | -20.2% | 47% | -18.8% |
| 20% | -28.0% | 41% | -26.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 20¢ | $200 | $245 | +$45 (+23%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 13¢ | $100 | $118 | +$18 (+18%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 15¢ | $100 | $86 | −$14 (-14%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $1,014 | +$743 | +73% |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5 | Jun 21 | $1,014 | +$826 | +81% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $5,684 | −$3,674 | -65% |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $509 | −$18 | -4% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $2,166 | +$1,482 | +68% |
| Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $49 | +$28 | +56% |
| United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $508 | +$610 | +120% |
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $508 | +$513 | +101% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $204 | +$363 | +178% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $203 | +$162 | +80% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $395 | +$176 | +44% |
| France leading at halftime? | Jun 16 | $204 | −$200 | -98% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $400 | −$393 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $500 | −$492 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $504 | −$498 | -99% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $202 | −$200 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $329 | +$371 | +113% |
| Canada leading at halftime? | Jun 12 | $102 | −$99 | -97% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $204 | +$322 | +158% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $305 | +$307 | +101% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $103 | −$84 | -82% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? | Jun 11 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $731 | −$720 | -98% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | May 30 | $6 | +$1 | +18% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $306 | −$235 | -77% |
| Will Song Yadong win by KO or TKO? | May 30 | $203 | −$203 | -100% |
| Arsenal FC leading at halftime? | May 30 | $202 | +$92 | +46% |
| UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card) | May 30 | $102 | +$8 | +8% |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | Feb 03 | $501 | +$572 | +114% |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Feb 02 | $500 | −$499 | -100% |
| UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card) | Jan 25 | $1,250 | +$2,788 | +223% |