Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:34:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

22
0x224a…9a27
crypto · 884 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$417 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$417 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$13
Realized−$417
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses640 / 244
Open positions0
Markets (closed)884 / 884
History coverage34d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day41.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 884 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$104
7 days+$62
14 days+$7
30 days−$415
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 64¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+55%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 44¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+127%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 63¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+59%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 46¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+117%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 82¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+22%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 71¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+41%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+33%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 69¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+45%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+23%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 91¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 84¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 85¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 65¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+54%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 88¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 68¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+47%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 83¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+20%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 94¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+6%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 92¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+9%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+13%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 71¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 54¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+85%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$4 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$7 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$1 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -91%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$417
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $15 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $15 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $10 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $15 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $15 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $15 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $15 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $15 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $15 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $15 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $15 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $15 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $15 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $15 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $15 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $15 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 681 -2.2% -11.5% 81% 41% -2.6%
≤30d 883 -4.2% -13.4% 72% 40% -6.6%
≤90d 884 -4.3% -13.4% 72% 40% -6.6%
all 884 -4.3% -13.4% 72% 40% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.4% 40% -6.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.7% 24% -15.6%
15% -29.3% 17% -23.7%
20% -36.2% 11% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.18 · official $0.00 · 2106 history records