Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:18:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
22 0x2269…f7ab crypto 81 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (167 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$19 (-8%) realized −$19 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate78%63W / 18L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day167.0pace
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% −$18
other 5% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (167 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 81 -6.1% -15.0% 78% 4% -18.1%
≤30d 81 -6.1% -15.0% 78% 4% -18.1%
≤90d 81 -6.1% -15.0% 78% 4% -18.1%
all 81 -6.1% -15.0% 78% 4% -18.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover167.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.0% 4% -18.1%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 1% -26.0%
15% -30.6% 1% -33.1%
20% -37.4% 0% -39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
95% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.08 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.28 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses63 / 18
Open positions0
Markets (closed)81 / 81
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day167.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 81 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $0 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 176 history records