trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 37 | +5.2% | -4.9% | 46% | 46% | -2.0% |
| ≤30d | 42 | +12.5% | +1.8% | 50% | 50% | -0.8% |
| ≤90d | 42 | +12.5% | +1.8% | 50% | 50% | -0.8% |
| all | 42 | +12.5% | +1.8% | 50% | 50% | -0.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +1.8% | 50% | -0.8% |
| 10% | -7.9% | 50% | -10.3% |
| 15% | -16.8% | 50% | -18.9% |
| 20% | -25.0% | 50% | -26.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 57¢ | 57¢ | $70 | $71 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Netherlands leading at halftime? | Yes | 43¢ | 44¢ | $30 | $30 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $106 | +$308 | +291% |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Jun 20 | $51 | +$31 | +62% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $59 | +$40 | +67% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $41 | +$73 | +180% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $50 | +$31 | +62% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $152 | −$148 | -98% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $50 | +$83 | +165% |
| Switzerland leading at halftime? | Jun 18 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $129 | −$126 | -98% |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $28 | +$32 | +114% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $91 | +$127 | +140% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $108 | −$107 | -99% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Spread: Portugal (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spread: Austria (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $51 | +$57 | +112% |
| Austria leading at halftime? | Jun 17 | $18 | +$16 | +86% |
| Argentina leading at halftime? | Jun 17 | $30 | +$33 | +109% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $40 | +$66 | +165% |
| Norway leading at halftime? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$13 | +62% |
| Spread: Norway (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $51 | +$88 | +172% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $69 | +$100 | +145% |
| France leading at halftime? | Jun 16 | $30 | −$30 | -98% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $49 | −$48 | -98% |
| Belgium leading at halftime? | Jun 15 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $39 | −$39 | -98% |
| Spain leading at halftime? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $91 | −$90 | -98% |
| Sweden leading at halftime? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$34 | +165% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $50 | +$47 | +93% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $30 | −$29 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $63 | −$62 | -98% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $30 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $59 | −$58 | -98% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $33 | −$32 | -98% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$12 | +114% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $10 | +$7 | +67% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$15 | +146% |
| Mexico leading at halftime? | Jun 11 | $5 | +$6 | +109% |