Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:22:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

22
0x2295…8f0f
sports · 962 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$104 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$64 · open −$40
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$96
Realized−$64
Unrealized−$40
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses460 / 496
Est. fees paid−$129
Open positions6
Markets (closed)956 / 962
History coverage105d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day19.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 956 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$51
7 days−$56
14 days+$20
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 54¢ 78¢ $22 $31 +$9 (+44%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 58¢ 66¢ $23 $27 +$3 (+15%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 44¢ 36¢ $26 $22 −$5 (-18%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 64¢ 56¢ $19 $17 −$3 (-13%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 44¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Monte 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner MOUZ 32¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $7 +$3 +50%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $12 −$11 -96%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $9 +$11 +127%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $11 −$8 -74%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$20 +105%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $6 +$4 +82%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $26 +$24 +91%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $13 −$13 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $5 +$5 +109%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 09 $10 +$5 +53%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $12 +$13 +101%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $18 +$12 +64%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $13 +$27 +215%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $22 +$18 +85%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $23 +$17 +73%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $19 +$21 +109%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $8 +$7 +94%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 08 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $21 −$21 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $7 −$7 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $8 −$8 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 08 $20 −$20 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $9 −$9 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $13 +$17 +136%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $12 +$13 +101%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 +$10 +103%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $9 +$11 +124%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 +$10 +99%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 +$5 +114%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 07 $7 +$3 +48%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $5 +$5 +105%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $7 +$3 +48%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $3 +$3 +85%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$111
other 0% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 34¢ $5 41m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 34¢ $5 41m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 64¢ $19 49m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 58¢ $23 58m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $16 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 50¢ $15 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 54¢ $22 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 45¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 45¢ $18 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL FURIA 1¢ $0 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 23¢ $12 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 17¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 32¢ $6 4h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $7 7h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 40¢ $8 7h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 10¢ $3 17h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 39¢ $4 17h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 37¢ $19 17h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 36¢ $4 18h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 35¢ $4 18h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 36¢ $11 18h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 25¢ $1 19h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 31¢ $6 19h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 35¢ $4 21h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 45¢ $4 21h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 56¢ $6 21h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 58¢ $6 21h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 26¢ $8 25h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 44¢ $9 25h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 55¢ $14 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 -9.2% -17.9% 46% 46% -16.6%
≤30d 279 +1.0% -8.6% 49% 49% -10.0%
≤90d 852 -6.5% -15.4% 45% 45% -13.4%
all 956 +1.7% -7.9% 48% 48% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.9% 48% -10.1%
10% -16.8% 48% -18.7%
15% -24.8% 47% -26.6%
20% -32.2% 45% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $95.90 · official $95.90 (match) · 3191 history records