Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T18:24:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
22 0x22a5…ebfb crypto 750 markets active 1h ago coverage 8d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (99 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$206 (-4%) realized −$206 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate75%566W / 184L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day99.2pace
Kalshi-fit85%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$103
7 days−$308
14 days−$265
30 days−$265
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 88% −$220
other 12% −$44
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (99 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 621 -4.7% -13.8% 77% 44% -16.6%
≤30d 750 -3.6% -12.8% 75% 44% -14.6%
≤90d 750 -3.6% -12.8% 75% 44% -14.6%
all 750 -3.6% -12.8% 75% 44% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover99.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 44% -14.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 27% -22.7%
15% -28.8% 16% -30.2%
20% -35.8% 10% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
39% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -7% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$6 · ×0.25 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$206
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses566 / 184
Open positions0
Markets (closed)750 / 750
History coverage8d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day99.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 750 Trades
no open positions (128 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 27 $5 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 27 $27 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 27 $27 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 27 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 27 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 +6%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 +5%
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 27 $17 +$8 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 27 $16 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 27 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 27 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 27 $17 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 27 $17 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 27 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 27 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 27 $10 +$4 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 27 $11 −$10 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 27 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 27 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 27 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 26 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 26 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 26 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 26 $5 +$4 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 26 $5 +$3 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 26 $25 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 26 $20 +$5 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $0 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $17 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $16 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $18 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $17 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $17 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $6 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1464 history records