Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:10:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

22
0x22af…e660
sports · 41 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$19 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$92
Realized−$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses22 / 15
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions4
Markets (closed)37 / 41
History coverage4d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day14.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 4 History 37 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$52
7 days−$25
14 days−$25
30 days−$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Vitality 52¢ 52¢ $26 $26 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 57¢ 58¢ $23 $23 +$1 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 58¢ 57¢ $23 $23 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 48¢ 48¢ $19 $19 +$0 (+1%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Vitality 70¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 64¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 68¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 52¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 56¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 46¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Vitality 55¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Legacy 67¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 56¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? No 63¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $10 +$6 +55%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $18 +$4 +24%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $31 +$6 +21%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $21 +$14 +64%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $17 +$3 +16%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $13 −$13 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $30 +$19 +64%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $17 +$23 +134%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $23 +$17 +73%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $49 +$14 +29%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $33 +$8 +24%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $21 −$21 -99%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $26 −$26 -99%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 12 $28 −$28 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $23 −$22 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $34 −$34 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $14 −$14 -98%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $13 −$3 -24%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $18 −$17 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $32 +$18 +56%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $25 +$15 +61%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 11 $19 +$11 +56%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $26 +$14 +56%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $25 +$15 +61%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $16 +$10 +59%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $11 +$9 +79%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $18 +$7 +37%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 11 $22 +$8 +37%
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 11 $17 −$17 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $28 +$2 +8%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $22 −$22 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) Jun 11 $12 −$3 -24%
Spread: Spurs (-20.5) Jun 11 $10 +$4 +41%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $78 +$18 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% +$3
other 8% −$24
tech 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 57¢ $23 1h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY Vitality 52¢ $26 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 48¢ $19 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 58¢ $24 2h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 56¢ $28 8h
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 64¢ $10 10h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Legacy 75¢ $22 17h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL FURIA 75¢ $0 18h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL FURIA 75¢ $37 18h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 62¢ $31 21h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 60¢ $18 21h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 61¢ $7 34h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 61¢ $8 34h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 61¢ $6 34h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 SELL Under 1¢ $0 34h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 64¢ $13 34h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 86¢ $11 34h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 86¢ $6 34h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 61¢ $17 39h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 61¢ $1 39h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 61¢ $2 39h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 61¢ $3 39h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 61¢ $9 39h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 67¢ $22 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 55¢ $18 2d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 83¢ $41 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 83¢ $41 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 61¢ $30 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $21 2d
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 64¢ $26 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -7.2% -16.1% 59% 57% -12.2%
≤30d 37 -7.2% -16.1% 59% 57% -12.2%
≤90d 37 -7.2% -16.1% 59% 57% -12.2%
all 37 -7.2% -16.1% 59% 57% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.1% 57% -12.2%
10% -24.1% 51% -20.6%
15% -31.4% 41% -28.2%
20% -38.2% 32% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $91.84 · official $91.84 (match) · 79 history records