Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:12:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

22
0x22c4…26a8
crypto · 234 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$339 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$339 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$339
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses99 / 135
Open positions0
Markets (closed)234 / 234
History coverage60d
Avg bet$54
Trades / day54.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 234 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$77
30 days−$163
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 01 $151 +$33 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 01 $74 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 01 $115 −$54 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 01 $139 −$60 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET May 31 $141 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET May 31 $110 +$14 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET May 31 $165 −$71 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET May 31 $79 +$20 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 31 $106 +$27 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 28 $14 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET May 28 $31 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET May 28 $54 −$12 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET May 27 $11 −$6 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET May 27 $30 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET May 27 $20 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET May 26 $68 +$21 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET May 16 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET May 16 $31 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET May 16 $16 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET May 16 $51 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 16 $110 −$24 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 16 $36 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 16 $21 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET May 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 16 $4 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 16 $126 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET May 16 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 16 $73 −$17 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 16 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 16 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET May 16 $162 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET May 16 $39 −$4 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET May 16 $37 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET May 16 $21 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 16 $2 −$2 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 16 $36 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 16 $25 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET May 16 $2 +$3 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET May 15 $122 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET May 15 $195 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET May 15 $54 −$14 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 15 $35 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET May 15 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 15 $27 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET May 15 $25 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 15 $41 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET May 15 $51 −$9 -17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$339
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $2 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $16 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $10 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $10 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $17 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $13 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $16 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $16 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $16 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $20 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 12d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-5.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -0.7% -10.2% 50% 0% -10.2%
≤30d 62 -7.1% -16.0% 40% 11% -13.7%
≤90d 234 +4.2% -5.7% 42% 9% -13.2%
all 234 +4.2% -5.7% 42% 9% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.7% 9% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -14.8% 6% -21.5%
15% -23.0% 3% -29.1%
20% -30.5% 3% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records