Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T17:45:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
22 0x22c5…d377 crypto 270 markets active 0h ago coverage 11d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$97 (+8%) realized +$97 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -82% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -86% what you keep after slip
Net edge-86%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate5%14W / 256L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day46.1pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit80%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$39
7 days+$36
14 days+$27
30 days+$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% +$39
other 1% −$9
sports 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-83.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 267 -82.0% -83.7% 5% 5% -6.9%
≤30d 270 -81.8% -83.5% 5% 5% -7.6%
≤90d 270 -81.8% -83.5% 5% 5% -7.6%
all 270 -81.8% -83.5% 5% 5% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover46.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -83.5% 5% -7.6%
10% ← realistic here -85.1% 5% -16.4%
15% -86.5% 5% -24.5%
20% -87.9% 4% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 18% · top 2 30% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -82% · $-wt +2% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -83% → late -81% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$31 vs −$2 · ×19.45 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.07 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$97
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses14 / 256
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)270 / 270
History coverage11d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day46.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 270 Trades
no open positions (242 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 24 $10 +$10 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 24 $12 +$13 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 24 $46 −$44 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 24 $26 +$23 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 24 $12 +$9 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 24 $60 −$58 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 24 $52 +$50 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 24 $52 +$49 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 24 $26 −$25 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 24 $32 −$26 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 24 $35 +$15 +44%
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 24 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 24 $42 −$12 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 24 $42 −$12 -28%
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 24 $49 +$41 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 24 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 24 $72 +$78 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 24 $16 −$6 -36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $60 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 539 history records