Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:29:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

22
0x22c7…d814
crypto · 993 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5,131 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,131 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$5,131
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses495 / 498
Est. fees paid−$594
Open positions0
Markets (closed)993 / 993
History coverage28d
Avg bet$106
Trades / day98.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 993 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,446
7 days−$3,122
14 days−$7,476
30 days−$5,131
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $265 $0 −$265 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $41 −$40 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $41 −$36 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $155 −$30 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $72 −$43 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $134 +$51 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $46 +$18 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $124 −$108 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $114 +$36 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $93 −$12 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$10 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $344 −$335 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $284 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $193 −$14 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $268 −$265 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $108 +$6 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $62 +$8 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$32 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $62 −$15 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$28 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $160 −$76 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $271 +$9 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $128 +$24 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $179 −$23 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$25 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $202 −$105 -52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $98 −$50 -51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$32 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$22 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $61 −$8 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $103 +$15 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $87 −$85 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $62 −$29 -46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$13 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $119 +$38 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $67 −$35 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $128 −$9 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $77 +$4 +5%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Jun 13 $51 −$3 -5%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 13 $86 +$41 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $57 +$51 +90%
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $76 +$32 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$39 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $62 −$60 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$27 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$41 +79%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $61 +$137 +223%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $121 +$47 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $66 −$66 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 63% −$7,004
sports 37% +$1,863
other 0% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $41 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $89 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $113 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $72 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $148 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $31 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 81¢ $64 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $88 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $150 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $83 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $81 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $93 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $72 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $53 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $76 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 531 -3.2% -12.5% 51% 47% -15.0%
≤30d 993 -1.4% -10.8% 50% 47% -14.1%
≤90d 993 -1.4% -10.8% 50% 47% -14.1%
all 993 -1.4% -10.8% 50% 47% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover98.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 47% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 42% -22.3%
15% -27.1% 35% -29.8%
20% -34.3% 27% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3206 history records