Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:00:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

22
0x22cc…740c
sports · 84 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$1,425 -30%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,426 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$100
Realized−$1,426
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses31 / 51
Est. fees paid−$70
Open positions2
Markets (closed)82 / 84
History coverage7d
Avg bet$56
Trades / day12.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 82 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$100
7 days−$976
14 days−$1,426
30 days−$1,426
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Under 31¢ 32¢ $50 $51 +$1 (+2%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Over 39¢ 38¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-1%)
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Avispa Fukuoka: O/U 3.5 Over 18¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Spread: Croatia (-2.5) Bulgaria 73¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Spread: Raja Club Athletic (-1.5) Raja Club Athletic 24¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 2.5 Under 44¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Sandvikens IF vs. Falkenbergs FF: O/U 3.5 Under 67¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Angola vs. Mauritania: O/U 2.5 Over 37¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Spread: Philippines (-2.5) Myanmar 76¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: Both Teams to Score No 65¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Singapore vs. China PR: Both Teams to Score No 47¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 Under 39¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 1.5 Under 22¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Belarus vs. Armenia: O/U 5.5 Under 82¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: Both Teams to Score Yes 44¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 Under 63¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: Both Teams to Score Yes 33¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Northern Ireland vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 42¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5 Over 26¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Benin vs. Niger: O/U 1.5 Under 37¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Spread: RS Berkane (-1.5) RS Berkane 31¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5) Guatemala 67¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5 Under 21¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Norway vs. Austria: O/U 1.5 Under 42¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 1.5 Under 21¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $51 −$50 -98%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $51 −$50 -98%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $51 −$50 -98%
France vs. Ireland: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $51 +$83 +163%
Angola vs. Central African Republic: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $50 +$20 +40%
France vs. Ireland: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $50 +$9 +17%
Iceland vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $51 +$96 +188%
Kawkab AC vs. Raja Club Athletic: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $50 +$21 +42%
Spread: Azerbaijan (-2.5) Jun 09 $51 +$32 +64%
North Macedonia vs. Azerbaijan: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $51 +$51 +101%
Latvia vs. Slovakia: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $50 +$7 +14%
Estonia vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $101 −$31 -31%
Wales vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $51 +$52 +102%
Belarus vs. Armenia: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $50 +$12 +23%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 09 $50 +$21 +42%
Northern Ireland vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $50 +$2 +5%
Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $51 +$71 +140%
Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $50 −$50 -100%
Belarus vs. Armenia: O/U 5.5 Jun 09 $50 −$50 -100%
Northern Ireland vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $51 −$50 -98%
Croatia vs. Bulgaria: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $51 −$50 -98%
Croatia vs. Bulgaria: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $51 −$50 -99%
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. AS FAR: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $51 −$50 -98%
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. AS FAR: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $51 −$50 -99%
Sandvikens IF vs. Falkenbergs FF: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $50 −$50 -99%
Spread: Philippines (-2.5) Jun 09 $50 −$50 -99%
Croatia vs. Bulgaria: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $51 −$50 -98%
Israel vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $51 −$50 -98%
Albania vs. Montenegro: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $51 −$50 -98%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $51 −$50 -98%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $51 −$50 -98%
Spread: Raja Club Athletic (-1.5) Jun 09 $51 −$50 -98%
Spread: Denmark (-2.5) Jun 09 $50 −$50 -99%
Peru vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $51 +$77 +152%
RCA Zemamra vs. UnionTouargaSports: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $51 −$50 -98%
Norway vs. Austria: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $102 −$100 -98%
Kawkab AC vs. Raja Club Athletic: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $51 −$50 -98%
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $51 −$50 -99%
Spread: Croatia (-2.5) Jun 09 $50 −$50 -99%
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $51 −$50 -98%
Liverpool Montevideo vs. Cerro Largo FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $51 +$105 +206%
Deportes Temuco vs. Curico Unido: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $102 +$268 +262%
Spread: Union Espanola (-1.5) Jun 09 $50 +$20 +40%
Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 0.5 Jun 08 $50 +$2 +4%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $51 +$30 +60%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5 Jun 08 $50 +$12 +24%
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5) Jun 08 $51 +$25 +50%
Spread: France (-1.5) Jun 08 $51 −$50 -98%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $51 −$50 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$1,425
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 39¢ $51 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 31¢ $51 9h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $51 23h
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 26¢ $51 44h
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 21¢ $51 2d
Bolivia vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 44¢ $51 2d
Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 84¢ $50 3d
Belarus vs. Armenia: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 82¢ $50 3d
Belarus vs. Armenia: Both Teams to Score BUY No 81¢ $50 3d
Northern Ireland vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 42¢ $51 3d
Croatia vs. Bulgaria: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 23¢ $51 3d
Croatia vs. Bulgaria: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 66¢ $51 3d
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. AS FAR: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 36¢ $51 3d
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. AS FAR: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 63¢ $51 3d
Sandvikens IF vs. Falkenbergs FF: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 67¢ $50 3d
Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 41¢ $51 3d
Spread: Philippines (-2.5) BUY Myanmar 76¢ $50 3d
North Macedonia vs. Azerbaijan: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 49¢ $51 3d
Croatia vs. Bulgaria: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 40¢ $51 3d
Israel vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 47¢ $51 3d
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Northern Ireland 70¢ $50 3d
Estonia vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 71¢ $50 3d
Albania vs. Montenegro: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 41¢ $51 3d
Latvia vs. Slovakia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 87¢ $50 3d
France vs. Ireland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 85¢ $50 3d
France vs. Ireland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 37¢ $51 3d
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 21¢ $51 3d
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 44¢ $51 3d
Spread: Raja Club Athletic (-1.5) BUY Raja Club Athletic 24¢ $51 3d
Angola vs. Central African Republic: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 71¢ $50 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-38.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 75 -25.9% -33.0% 41% 39% -30.9%
≤30d 82 -32.3% -38.7% 38% 35% -37.7%
≤90d 82 -32.3% -38.7% 38% 35% -37.7%
all 82 -32.3% -38.7% 38% 35% -37.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -38.7% 35% -37.7%
10% -44.6% 32% -43.7%
15% -49.9% 26% -49.1%
20% -54.8% 17% -54.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $100.17 · official $100.17 (match) · 117 history records