Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:04:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

22
0x22ce…3cf8
other · 390 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$768 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$788 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$92
Realized−$788
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)16%
Wins / losses57 / 308
Est. fees paid−$42
Open positions22
Markets (closed)365 / 390
History coverage92d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day5.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit21%
Chart Positions 22 History 365 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$173
7 days+$168
14 days+$168
30 days+$146
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will USA finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 22¢ 21¢ $42 $40 −$2 (-5%)
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 19¢ 19¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-4%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $12 $14 +$2 (+15%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $7 $10 +$3 (+37%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-7%)
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+75%)
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-12%)
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-62%)
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-75%)
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-75%)
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-75%)
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-75%)
Spread: Curaçao (-2.5) Curaçao 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-75%)
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-75%)
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-75%)
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-75%)
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-75%)
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-75%)
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 1 Burnley FC? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC 1 - 1 Henan FC? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 0 Fulham FC? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 −$4 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $19 −$18 -97%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $202 +$196 +97%
Exact Score: Club Universitario de Deportes 2 - 1 CD Tolima? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -99%
Exact Score: Club Universitario de Deportes 1 - 1 CD Tolima? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 1 Iceland? May 31 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC? May 30 $7 −$1 -15%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? May 30 $1 $0 +42%
Exact Score: GAIS 1 - 1 Kalmar FF? May 30 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 0 Arsenal FC? May 30 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC? May 30 $11 −$11 -97%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC? May 30 $3 −$3 -97%
Will Nagoya Grampus vs. FC Machida Zelvia end in a draw? May 30 $2 +$14 +693%
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $4 −$4 -97%
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 0 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid? May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Rosenborg BK 1 - 0 FK Bodø/Glimt? May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $3 −$3 -97%
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw? May 30 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: CA Boca Juniors 3 - 1 CD Universidad Católica? May 29 $7 −$7 -97%
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 0 - 2 CDP Junior FC? May 28 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 0 - 1 CDP Junior FC? May 28 $3 −$3 -97%
Will Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC end in a dr May 27 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Independiente del Valle vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw? May 27 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid? May 27 $1 +$8 +595%
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 2 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid? May 27 $12 −$4 -34%
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 0 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid? May 27 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: CA Lanús 2 - 1 Mirassol FC? May 26 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: CA Lanús 2 - 0 Mirassol FC? May 26 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Saint-Etienne 1 - 1 Nice? May 26 $3 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: Sandefjord Fotball 1 - 1 Fredrikstad FK? May 25 $2 +$13 +650%
Exact Score: Sandefjord Fotball 0 - 2 Fredrikstad FK? May 25 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: Sandefjord Fotball 0 - 1 Fredrikstad FK? May 25 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $3 +$7 +226%
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $8 −$8 -98%
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $15 +$10 +67%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $1 +$7 +650%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 26? May 24 $1 −$1 -95%
Exact Score: Shanghai Shenhua FC 1 - 2 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC? May 24 $5 +$62 +1214%
Exact Score: Inter Miami CF 0 - 1 Philadelphia Union? May 24 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 1 Cagliari Calcio? May 24 $6 −$6 -97%
Exact Score: Hellas Verona FC 1 - 0 AS Roma? May 24 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 0 - 2 Chelsea FC? May 24 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 0 - 1 Aston Villa FC? May 24 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: West Ham United FC 0 - 1 Leeds United FC? May 24 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: West Ham United FC 1 - 2 Leeds United FC? May 24 $3 −$3 -97%
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $48 −$4 -8%
Exact Score: Shanghai Shenhua FC 1 - 3 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC? May 24 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Torino FC 1 - 0 Juventus FC? May 24 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: Shanghai Shenhua FC 2 - 2 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC? May 24 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: SD Eibar 3 - 0 Córdoba CF? May 24 $2 −$2 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 53% −$487
other 42% −$319
politics 2% +$1
crypto 2% +$4
world 0% +$1
weather 0% −$5
culture 0% +$9
economics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY 7¢ $20 42m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY 24¢ $17 1h
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 1h
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 20¢ $5 1h
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 1h
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 1h
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 1h
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 1h
Will USA finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Sta BUY Yes 22¢ $1 1h
Will USA finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Sta BUY Yes 22¢ $1 1h
Will USA finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Sta BUY Yes 22¢ $2 1h
Will USA finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Sta BUY Yes 22¢ $2 1h
Will USA finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Sta BUY Yes 22¢ $2 1h
Will USA finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Sta BUY Yes 22¢ $3 1h
Will USA finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Sta BUY Yes 22¢ $4 1h
Will USA finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Sta BUY Yes 22¢ $4 1h
Will USA finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Sta BUY Yes 22¢ $5 1h
Will USA finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Sta BUY Yes 22¢ $18 1h
Spread: Curaçao (-2.5) BUY Curaçao 1¢ $1 1h
Spread: Curaçao (-2.5) AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Wil BUY 1¢ $3 1h
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 19¢ $2 1h
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 18¢ $3 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY 25¢ $12 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY 25¢ $5 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 18¢ $5 23h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 4¢ $19 23h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $100 4d
Exact Score: Club Universitario de Deportes 2 - 1 CD Tolima? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 5d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $102 10d
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 1 Iceland? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 14d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-34.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -60.4% -64.2% 20% 20% +56.5%
≤30d 76 -5.8% -14.8% 14% 14% +14.5%
≤90d 365 -27.6% -34.5% 16% 15% -23.7%
all 365 -27.6% -34.5% 16% 15% -23.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -34.5% 15% -23.7%
10% -40.8% 15% -31.0%
15% -46.5% 14% -37.7%
20% -51.7% 13% -43.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $91.93 · official $147.93 · 764 history records