Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:20:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

22
0x22da…2866
sports · 261 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$10,417 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9,915 · open −$501
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,832
Realized−$9,915
Unrealized−$501
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses107 / 131
Whale WR (big bets)46%
Est. fees paid−$575
Open positions23
Markets (closed)238 / 261
History coverage21d
Avg bet$213
Trades / day159.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 23 History 238 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,963
7 days−$7,877
14 days−$8,236
30 days−$9,915
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Yes 48¢ 39¢ $906 $736 −$170 (-19%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Over 51¢ 50¢ $301 $295 −$6 (-2%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 45¢ 100¢ $114 $251 +$137 (+120%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 32¢ 100¢ $80 $246 +$166 (+209%)
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Yes 6¢ 9¢ $142 $214 +$71 (+50%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 59¢ 100¢ $122 $208 +$86 (+71%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Kamil Majchrzak 39¢ 74¢ $77 $146 +$70 (+91%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 55¢ 100¢ $69 $125 +$56 (+81%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 62¢ 100¢ $69 $112 +$43 (+62%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 66¢ 100¢ $66 $100 +$34 (+52%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 73¢ 100¢ $69 $94 +$25 (+36%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Robin Montgomery 62¢ 86¢ $61 $84 +$23 (+38%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 30¢ 30¢ $38 $38 +$0 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 59¢ 70¢ $28 $34 +$5 (+19%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Iva Jovic 55¢ 60¢ $27 $29 +$2 (+8%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Katie Swan 41¢ 100¢ $10 $25 +$14 (+142%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 56¢ 100¢ $11 $19 +$8 (+78%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 89¢ 100¢ $16 $18 +$2 (+12%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 42¢ 40¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-2%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Darwin Blanch 42¢ 84¢ $5 $11 +$6 (+103%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 19¢ 12¢ $12 $7 −$5 (-41%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 72¢ 74¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+3%)
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Daniel Galan 40¢ 40¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+2%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Felix Auger-Aliassime 42¢ 26¢ $8 $5 −$3 (-39%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Henrique Rocha 29¢ 16¢ $7 $4 −$3 (-46%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $18 +$14 +81%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $16 +$11 +70%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $62 −$53 -85%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $1 +$1 +46%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $59 +$10 +17%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $37 +$54 +146%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $129 −$44 -34%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $79 −$14 -17%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $49 +$7 +13%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $131 +$33 +25%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $13 +$6 +44%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $145 −$22 -15%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $167 +$50 +30%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $67 +$74 +110%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $57 +$7 +13%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $48 −$5 -10%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $149 −$76 -51%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $129 −$2 -2%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $28 −$6 -22%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $39 $0 -1%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $62 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $129 +$47 +37%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $56 −$20 -37%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $68 +$20 +29%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $37 −$7 -18%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $30 +$8 +26%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $66 +$3 +5%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $11 −$11 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $196 −$192 -98%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $45 +$18 +40%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $275 +$134 +49%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $13 +$9 +73%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5) Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $32 +$9 +27%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5) Jun 12 $58 −$8 -14%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5) Jun 12 $5 −$2 -33%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $171 +$89 +52%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $89 +$19 +22%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $195 +$128 +66%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $60 +$18 +30%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $51 +$23 +46%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $36 −$21 -58%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $19 +$7 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% −$10,354
tech 11% −$930
other 4% +$868
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 25¢ $5 1m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 66¢ $13 1m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 75¢ $9 1m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 75¢ $2 1m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 26¢ $6 1m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 72¢ $12 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 24¢ $6 3m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 78¢ $15 4m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $1 4m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $5 4m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 67¢ $13 4m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 81¢ $12 7m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 81¢ $4 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 72¢ $6 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 40¢ $4 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 40¢ $4 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 42¢ $7 7m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 36¢ $2 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 53¢ $9 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 52¢ $8 8m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 71¢ $1 9m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 63¢ $4 10m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 38¢ $3 10m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 79¢ $5 13m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 53¢ $3 13m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 36¢ $4 14m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 76¢ $8 15m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 42¢ $2 17m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 36¢ $3 18m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 20¢ $4 18m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 215 -11.1% -19.6% 44% 39% -36.7%
≤30d 238 -9.0% -17.7% 45% 40% -26.9%
≤90d 238 -9.0% -17.7% 45% 40% -26.9%
all 238 -9.0% -17.7% 45% 40% -26.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover159.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.7% 40% -26.9%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 35% -33.9%
15% -32.8% 30% -40.3%
20% -39.4% 23% -46.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,832.40 · official $2,772.52 · 3500 history records