Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:36:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

22
0x22e4…8d42
crypto · 199 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$41 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$34 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$34
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses100 / 99
Open positions0
Markets (closed)199 / 199
History coverage6d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day36.5
Drawdown44%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 199 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days+$34
14 days+$34
30 days+$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +124%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +266%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +146%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +140%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$4 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$4 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$4 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$33
other 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 36h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 36h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 36h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 37h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 37h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 37h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 38h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 38h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 38h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 38h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 38h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 38h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 38h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 199 +2.7% -7.0% 50% 50% -3.2%
≤30d 199 +2.7% -7.0% 50% 50% -3.2%
≤90d 199 +2.7% -7.0% 50% 50% -3.2%
all 199 +2.7% -7.0% 50% 50% -3.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.0% 50% -3.2%
10% ← realistic here -15.9% 49% -12.5%
15% -24.1% 49% -20.9%
20% -31.5% 48% -28.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 350 history records