Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:11:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

22
0x22f6…3824
sports · 58 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$540 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$148 · open +$296
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$868
Realized−$148
Unrealized+$296
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses39 / 16
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$466
Open positions3
Markets (closed)55 / 58
History coverage17d
Avg bet$758
Trades / day21.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 55 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$503
7 days+$1,508
14 days+$627
30 days−$148
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming 58¢ 100¢ $375 $642 +$268 (+71%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming 71¢ 100¢ $161 $226 +$65 (+40%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Top Esports 27¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 53¢ 0¢ $789 $0 −$789 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 54¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winner Natus Vincere 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner EDward Gaming 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 4 Winner ThunderTalk Gaming 14¢ 0¢ $176 $0 −$176 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming 48¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 65¢ 0¢ $401 $0 −$401 (-100%)
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 4 Winner LOS 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner ThunderTalk Gaming 60¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner JD Gaming 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner JD Gaming 34¢ 0¢ $372 $0 −$372 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 78¢ 0¢ $283 $0 −$283 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Natus Vincere 7¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 14¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner JD Gaming 52¢ 0¢ $840 $0 −$840 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Movistar KOI 28¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 30¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner T1 22¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Anyones Legend 63¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner LGD Gaming 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner Bilibili Gaming 78¢ 0¢ $312 $0 −$312 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $2,711 +$266 +10%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $677 +$375 +55%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $39 +$6 +14%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $629 +$4 +1%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2,222 −$159 -7%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $46 +$12 +26%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $204 +$32 +16%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $50 −$50 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $853 +$410 +48%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $1,145 +$495 +43%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $1,304 −$176 -14%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $622 +$183 +29%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $775 +$57 +7%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $322 +$53 +16%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $3 $0 -3%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $121 −$29 -24%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $1,637 +$202 +12%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $715 +$38 +5%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $584 +$76 +13%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $1,200 +$1 +0%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $5 +$2 +46%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $515 +$85 +16%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $835 +$80 +10%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $269 +$147 +55%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $384 +$16 +4%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $435 +$75 +17%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $220 +$73 +33%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $182 +$40 +22%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 02 $223 +$26 +11%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $716 −$137 -19%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $554 +$100 +18%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $898 −$7 -1%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $313 +$112 +36%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $764 +$238 +31%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $1,312 −$807 -62%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $2,324 −$735 -32%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner May 31 $2,220 −$476 -21%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner May 31 $868 +$92 +11%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner May 31 $1,043 −$844 -81%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $1,178 −$506 -43%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winner May 30 $276 +$181 +65%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winner May 30 $41 +$20 +49%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner May 30 $71 +$23 +32%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner May 30 $1,706 +$194 +11%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner May 30 $582 −$368 -63%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner May 30 $1,531 +$144 +9%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner May 30 $2,243 −$356 -16%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 30 $314 +$64 +20%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 30 $121 +$42 +34%
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 29 $476 +$98 +21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$149
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 76¢ $151 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 72¢ $145 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 31¢ $93 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 63¢ $4 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 43¢ $131 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 59¢ $23 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 56¢ $170 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 55¢ $12 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 50¢ $254 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 55¢ $253 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 50¢ $245 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 60¢ $249 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 92¢ $50 2h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 90¢ $100 2h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 4¢ $10 2h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 63¢ $97 2h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 68¢ $206 2h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 58¢ $235 2h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 34¢ $104 2h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 33¢ $101 2h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 34¢ $104 2h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Top Esports 2¢ $2 3h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Top Esports 4¢ $9 3h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $218 3h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Top Esports 21¢ $64 3h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 71¢ $215 3h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Top Esports 21¢ $64 3h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $197 3h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 64¢ $179 3h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 7¢ $22 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)+220.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +289.3% +252.2% 79% 64% +9.4%
≤30d 55 +254.6% +220.8% 71% 58% -9.5%
≤90d 55 +254.6% +220.8% 71% 58% -9.5%
all 55 +254.6% +220.8% 71% 58% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +220.8% 58% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here +190.1% 38% -18.2%
15% +162.1% 29% -26.1%
20% +136.4% 20% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $868.49 · official $868.49 (match) · 431 history records