trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | -8.5% | -17.2% | 50% | 43% | +12.8% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -8.5% | -17.2% | 50% | 43% | +12.8% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -8.5% | -17.2% | 50% | 43% | +12.8% |
| all | 14 | -8.5% | -17.2% | 50% | 43% | +12.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.2% | 43% | +12.8% |
| 10% | -25.2% | 43% | +2.0% |
| 15% | -32.4% | 43% | -7.8% |
| 20% | -39.0% | 29% | -16.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Yes | 28¢ | 28¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 62¢ | 64¢ | $15 | $15 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 67¢ | 66¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 11¢ | $12 | $11 | −$1 (-8%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 15¢ | $12 | $11 | −$1 (-10%) |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 19¢ | 18¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 84¢ | 0¢ | $60 | $0 | −$60 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$51 | +250% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $20 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $403 | +$143 | +35% |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Jun 14 | $12 | +$10 | +79% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $15 | +$8 | +55% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $61 | +$69 | +114% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $40 | −$40 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 13 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | Jun 13 | $41 | −$41 | -100% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $101 | +$42 | +42% |