Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:25:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

22
0x22fe…bf23
crypto · 971 markets active 5h ago
1.5score
+$72 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$74 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$284
Realized+$74
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses884 / 35
Open positions52
Markets (closed)919 / 971
History coverage754d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day1.6
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 52 History 919 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$6
14 days−$18
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.50 on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+0%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of June 8 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will Meta (META) close at >$670 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of June 8 2026? No 100¢ 98¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on June 15? No 100¢ 100¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-0%)
Will Google (GOOGL) close at >$395 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12? No 100¢ 99¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.50 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+0%)
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 8 above $340? No 100¢ 100¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-0%)
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at >$240 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-0%)
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $272 Week of June 8 2026? No 100¢ 99¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-0%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of June 8 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+0%)
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $275? No 100¢ 99¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 15? No 100¢ 99¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of Solana be greater than $110 on June 15? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on June 11? Jun 11 $6 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $7 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,200 on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.60 on June 11? Jun 11 $7 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be greater than $110 on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on June 10? Jun 10 $6 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.70 on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $6 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on June 10? Jun 10 $6 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on June 10? Jun 10 $6 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $9 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +1%
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.70 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $6 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $6 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on June 8? Jun 08 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 8? Jun 08 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on June 8? Jun 08 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on June 8? Jun 08 $5 $0 +0%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $225-$230 on the final day of trading of t Jun 08 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $9 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be greater than $130 on June 7? Jun 07 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on June 7? Jun 07 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on June 7? Jun 07 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on June 7? Jun 07 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $82,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on June 6? Jun 06 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be greater than $130 on June 6? Jun 06 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 6? Jun 06 $7 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on June 6? Jun 06 $7 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on June 6? Jun 06 $5 $0 +0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Jun 06 $9 −$6 -68%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $6 $0 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $7 $0 +0%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $6 $0 +0%
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $205 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $22 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% +$87
other 5% −$6
tech 3% −$1
politics 2% −$4
finance 1% $0
world 0% $0
sports 0% +$2
economics 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Solana be greater than $110 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $5 5h
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $5 5h
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 5h
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,100 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $5 5h
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,100 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $5 5h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 5h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $5 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $5 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $5 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $70,000 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $5 5h
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $7 5h
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $5 5h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $6 5h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $6 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $5 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $5 5h
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 99¢ $5 5h
Will Meta (META) close at >$670 on the final day of trading of the wee BUY No 100¢ $10 5h
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at >$240 on the final day of trading of the w BUY No 100¢ $6 5h
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 99¢ $5 5h
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $270-$275 on the final day of trading of t BUY No 100¢ $5 5h
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $330-$335 on the final day of trading of th BUY No 100¢ $0 5h
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $660 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $5 5h
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $442.50 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $5 5h
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $5 5h
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $272 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $6 5h
Will Google (GOOGL) close at >$395 on the final day of trading of the BUY No 100¢ $7 5h
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 8 above $340? BUY No 100¢ $6 5h
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 99¢ $6 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 -0.8% -10.2% 99% 0% -10.7%
≤30d 250 -0.2% -9.7% 97% 0% -10.4%
≤90d 336 -0.4% -9.9% 97% 0% -10.1%
all 919 -0.3% -9.8% 96% 3% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.8% 3% -8.7%
10% -18.5% 2% -17.5%
15% -26.3% 1% -25.4%
20% -33.6% 1% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $283.58 · official $282.61 (match) · 2220 history records